NFL play for Week 16 includes the Baltimore Ravens and Derrick Henry taking on the Pittsburgh Steelers at 4:30 PM ET on Saturday. Here is analysis of Henry’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you assess your best bets.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Derrick Henry to go over 85.5 yards
Derrick Henry Prop Lines
- Matchup: Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Date: December 21, 2024
- Rushing yards prop: Over 85.5 (-115)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 0.5 (-135)
Derrick Henry Stats and Trends
- Henry has rushed for a team-high 1,474 yards on 254 attempts (105.3 ypg), and has scored 13 rushing TDs.
- Henry averages 105.3 rushing yards per game, 19.8 greater than Saturday’s prop total.
- Henry has totaled more than 85.5 yards on the ground in seven of 14 games.
- Oddsmakers have set his rushing yards over/under at 83.5 on average. He has bettered it by picking up 105.3 rushing yards per game.
- Henry has gone over his rushing yards prop bet eight times (in 14 opportunities) this year.
- He has rushed for a touchdown in 10 games, with multiple rushing touchdowns three times.
- And Henry has tacked on 13 receptions for 125 yards (8.9 ypg). He’s scored two TDs through the passing game.
Recent Performances vs. the Steelers
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcons | 89 | 0 |
| 2 | Broncos | 64 | 0 |
| 3 | Chargers | 61 | 0 |
| 4 | Colts | 133 | 1 |
| 5 | Cowboys | 109 | 0 |
| 6 | Raiders | 57 | 1 |
| 7 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 8 | Giants | 157 | 1 |
| 10 | Commanders | 60 | 3 |
| 11 | Ravens | 124 | 1 |
| 12 | Browns | 85 | 3 |
| 13 | Bengals | 93 | 1 |
| 14 | Browns | 104 | 0 |
| 15 | Eagles | 131 | 1 |
Ravens Home Splits
- The Ravens’ average points scored in home games (30.5) is higher than their overall average (29.9). But their average points allowed at home (21.2) is lower than overall (23.7).
- The Ravens accumulate 408.5 yards per game at home (15.6 less than their overall average), and concede 307 at home (32.6 less than overall).
- In home games, the Ravens rack up 243.5 passing yards per game and give up 228.5. That’s less than they gain (245.6) and allow (258.9) overall.
- The Ravens’ average rushing yards gained (165) and allowed (78.5) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 178.4 and 80.7, respectively.
- The Ravens convert 46.2% of third downs at home (2.5% lower than their overall average), and concede 36.7% at home (4.6% lower than overall).
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