The Detroit Pistons (25-8) are 5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a five-game home win streak when they square off against the Miami Heat (18-15) on Thursday, January 1, 2026 at Little Caesars Arena. The contest airs at 7 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSDETX. The point total for the matchup is set at 236.5.
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Pistons Cover -5 vs Heat -109
Pistons vs. Heat betting lines
- Pistons odds to win: -198
- Heat odds to win: +165
- Spread: Pistons (-5)
- Total: 236.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Detroit Extra
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Pistons Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Detroit has covered the spread nine times at home and is 13-2 in home contests.
- Detroit has a 5-4 record ATS at home this season as 5-point favorites or more.
- Pistons home games have hit the over on the set point total nine times this season.
- Recent performance seems to go against Detroit to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 231.2 points per contest this season.
Pistons Recent Trends
- The Pistons have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Pistons games has exceeded the set total five times.
- The Pistons’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 232 points scored. That’s 4.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- In their last 10 games, the Pistons have a points-per-game average 1.5 points above their season-long scoring average.
Pistons Betting Records
- The Pistons have a 20-7 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 74.1% of those games).
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -198 or shorter, Detroit has gone 14-2 (87.5% win percentage).
- The Pistons have an implied moneyline win probability of 66.4% in this game.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (eighth in NBA) | 44.5 (second) | 46.6 (second) | 41.1 (fourth) | 26.8 (11th) | 14.8 (19th) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat are 6-10 in road contests and have covered the spread nine times on the road.
- This year, the Heat have a 1-0 record ATS on the road when playing as 5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat have hit the over on a set point total in a road game eight times this season.
- This season on the road the Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 235.7 points per contest, 0.8 points less than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread five times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- Heat’s last 10 games saw four go over the total.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 0.1 fewer points (236.4) than this matchup’s point total.
- During their last 10 games, the Heat have a 116.8 points-per-game average, 4.2 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- This season, Miami has won nine out of the 18 games, or 50%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Heat have entered 10 games this season as the underdog by +165 or more and is 2-8 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 37.7% chance of a victory for the Heat.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (11th in NBA) | 45.6 (fourth) | 45.8 (sixth) | 47.4 (27th) | 28.8 (seventh) | 13.4 (seventh) |

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