The Missouri State Bears (9-21, 2-17 MVC) are heavy underdogs (+14.5) as they attempt to break a 10-game road losing streak when they visit the Drake Bulldogs (26-3, 16-3 MVC) on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at Knapp Center. The contest airs at 3 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total is 121.5 in the matchup.
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Drake Cover -14.5 vs Missouri State -109
Drake vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Drake moneyline odds to win: -1587
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +884
- Spread: Drake (-14.5)
- Total: 121.5
Drake statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Drake sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-8-0) than it does on the road (6-4-0).
- At home, the Bulldogs eclipse the over/under 23.1% of the time (three of 13 games). They hit the over more often in road games, going over the total in 50% of games (five of 10).
- Drake has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-2 (.846). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 7-1 (.875).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been racking up 69.6 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 70.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Drake’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 61.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 59.2 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- The Bulldogs’ 6.6 made three-pointers per-game average over their past 10 games are less than the 6.8 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 38.6% compared to their season-long percentage of 36.4% from beyond the arc.
Drake betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 9-12-0; As Underdog: 6-0-0)
- O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.7 (19th in nation) | 44.6 (227th) | 28.8 (331st) | 21.6 (first) | 13.4 (202nd) | 9.9 (53rd) |
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Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Missouri State has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 7-7-0 record) than on the road (.583, 7-5-0).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, seven of 14) compared to away (41.7%, five of 12).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-4) than on the road (0-10).
Recent trends
- The Bears are averaging 66.1 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 2.6 fewer points than their average for the season (68.7).
- Missouri State is ceding 67.5 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 3.5 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (71).
- In their past 10 games, the Bears are making 6.4 threes per game, 0.7 fewer threes than their season average (7.1). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.9%) compared to their season average (35.4%).
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-13-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 13-7-0)
- O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-5 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-16 (Home: 3-4; Away: 0-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (157th in nation) | 46.7 (324th) | 29.7 (305th) | 27.2 (14th) | 12.2 (283rd) | 13.1 (330th) |
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