Week 15 of the NFL season features Drake Maye and the New England Patriots facing the Buffalo Bills at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s examine all of the prop bets available for Maye in this contest, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Drake Maye to go over 234.5 yards
Drake Maye Prop Lines
- Matchup: New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 14, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 234.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 21.5 (-109)
Drake Maye Stats and Trends
- Maye has thrown for 3,412 yards (262.5 per game), completing 71.5% of his throws, with 23 TDs and six INTs.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Maye is 234.5 passing yards. That’s 28.0 fewer yards than his 262.5 average for the season.
- In 13 games this year, Maye has topped 234.5 passing yards 10 times.
- His passing yards average of 262.5 yards is higher than his average prop total this year (231) by 31.5 yards.
- This year, Maye has bettered his passing yards prop total in 11 games (84.6%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 12 of 13 games (including multiple TDs nine times).
- Maye has also run 81 times for 319 yards and two scores, averaging 24.5 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 194 | 2 |
| 2 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 146 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 109 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 267 | 0 |
| 6 | Falcons | 233 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 130 | 0 |
| 9 | Chiefs | 226 | 0 |
| 10 | Dolphins | 173 | 2 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | 165 | 1 |
| 12 | Texans | 153 | 2 |
| 13 | Steelers | 108 | 0 |
| 14 | Bengals | 276 | 4 |
Patriots Home Splits
- The Patriots’ average points scored (26.4) and conceded (17) in home games are both lower than their overall averages of 27 and 18.5, respectively.
- The Patriots rack up 356.6 yards per game at home (six less than their overall average), and concede 271.9 at home (24.5 less than overall).
- The Patriots’ average passing yards gained (248.9) and conceded (180.6) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 249.7 and 206.9, respectively.
- The Patriots rack up 107.7 rushing yards per game at home (5.2 less than their overall average), and give up 91.3 at home (1.8 more than overall).
- The Patriots convert 42.9% of third downs in home games (0.2% higher than their overall average), and give up 35.4% at home (0.2% lower than overall).
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
