The No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (27-2, 15-1 ACC) are 9.5-point favorites as they look to extend a six-game winning streak when they visit the NC State Wolfpack (19-10, 10-6 ACC) on Monday, March 2, 2026 at Lenovo Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The over/under is 148.5 for the matchup.
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Duke Cover -9.5 vs NC State -112
Duke vs. NC State betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -541
- NC State moneyline odds to win: +391
- Spread: Duke (-9.5)
- Total: 148.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Duke sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (7-7-0) than it does in road games (7-3-0).
- The Blue Devils have eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of home games (28.6%) than road tilts (30%).
- When playing at home, Duke has won more often as a moneyline favorite, putting up a record of 12-0 (1.000). In away games, it is 8-1 (.889) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Blue Devils have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 77.3 points per game in their last 10 outings, 5.5 points fewer than the 82.8 they’ve scored this season.
- The last 10 games have seen Duke concede 5.3 fewer points per game (57.2) than its season-long average (62.5).
- While the Blue Devils are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (8.6 per game) when compared to their season-long average (9), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.6% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 35.4% on the season).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 13-9-0 (As Favorite: 16-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-21-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-2 (Home: 12-0; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.8 (16th in nation) | 38.8 (seventh) | 37.1 (15th) | 26.4 (sixth) | 17 (31st) | 10.3 (110th) |
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NC State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- NC State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .533 (8-7-0). On the road, it is .400 (4-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Wolfpack games have finished over seven of 15 times at home (46.7%), and eight of 10 away (80%).
Recent trends
- The Wolfpack are averaging 81.7 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than their average for the season (84.2).
- While NC State is giving up 75.1 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 81.3 points per contest.
- The Wolfpack are sinking 9.6 three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.9 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (10.5). In addition, they have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (36.6%) compared to their season average from downtown (38.6%).
NC State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 17-12-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-7 (Home: 11-4; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (65th in nation) | 44.1 (169th) | 32.1 (175th) | 33.1 (303rd) | 16.1 (60th) | 9.1 (27th) |
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