The No. 2 Duke Blue Devils (18-2, 10-0 ACC) are heavily favored (-13.5) to build on a 14-game winning streak when they host the North Carolina Tar Heels (13-9, 6-4 ACC) at 6:30 PM ET on Saturday, February 1, 2025 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The matchup airs on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 148.5.
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Duke Cover -13.5 vs North Carolina -115
Duke vs. North Carolina betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -971
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: +649
- Spread: Duke (-13.5)
- Total: 148.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Duke has done a better job covering the spread on the road (5-1-0) than it has in home games (7-5-0).
- The Blue Devils have exceeded the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (50%) than road games (33.3%).
- In 12 home games as a moneyline favorite, Duke has 12 wins (1.000). It owns the same winning percentage (5-0 record) as a moneyline favorite in road games.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Blue Devils have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 80.3 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 80 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Duke’s defense has been tough lately, as the team has allowed 59.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 59.6 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- While the Blue Devils are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.8 per game) compared to their season-long average (10.1), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.7% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 36.4% on the season).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-8-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 8-5-0 (As Favorite: 11-8-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-12-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 12-0; Away: 5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (58th in nation) | 37.2 (fifth) | 37.2 (12th) | 26.6 (ninth) | 16.8 (28th) | 9.9 (47th) |
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North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, North Carolina has a better winning percentage at home (.400, 4-6-0 record) than away (.286, 2-5-0).
- Tar Heels games have gone above the over/under 40% of the time at home (four of 10), and 28.6% of the time away (two of seven).
Recent trends
- While the Tar Heels are posting 81.7 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 76.9 points per contest.
- North Carolina is allowing 72.6 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 3.6 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (76.2).
- The Tar Heels are draining 6.9 threes per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.3). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.9%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.1%).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-15-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (74th in nation) | 42.4 (116th) | 34.4 (71st) | 32.9 (280th) | 14.5 (126th) | 10.8 (120th) |
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