The No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (28-2, 16-1 ACC) take a seven-game win streak into a home matchup with the No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6, 12-5 ACC), winners of four straight. The Blue Devils are heavy favorites (-17.5) in the contest, which tips at 6:30 p.m. ET (on ESPN) on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The over/under in the matchup is set at 146.5.
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Duke Cover -17.5 vs North Carolina -110
Duke vs. North Carolina betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -2941
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: +1270
- Spread: Duke (-17.5)
- Total: 146.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Duke has done a better job covering the spread on the road (8-3-0) than it has at home (7-7-0).
- The Blue Devils have eclipsed the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in four of 14 home matchups (28.6%). In away games, they have hit the over in four of 11 games (36.4%).
- Duke has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 12-0 (1.000). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 9-1 (.900).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Blue Devils have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 78.3 points per contest over that span compared to the 83.2 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- Duke has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 58.4 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 62.5 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2025-26 season.
- While the Blue Devils are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (8.9 per game) when compared to their season-long average (9.1), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (38% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 35.5% on the season).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 17.5+: 6-6-0 (As Favorite: 17-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 9-21-0 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-2 (Home: 12-0; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 (14th in nation) | 38.7 (fifth) | 37.2 (11th) | 26.6 (ninth) | 17.1 (28th) | 10.2 (100th) |
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North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, North Carolina has been better at home (11-7-0) than away (4-5-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Tar Heels games have gone over less often at home (seven of 18, 38.9%) than on the road (five of nine, 55.6%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Tar Heels have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-0) than away (3-2).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have performed worse offensively over their last 10 games, generating 76.2 points per contest, 4.2 fewer points their than season average of 80.4.
- North Carolina is giving up 72.5 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.9 points allowed.
- The Tar Heels are sinking 0.5 fewer treys per contest in their past 10 games (8) compared to their season average (8.5), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.6%) compared to their season mark (34.3%).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-14-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-11-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 15-0; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-3 (Home: 2-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (59th in nation) | 41.6 (50th) | 34.9 (49th) | 30 (118th) | 16 (63rd) | 9.4 (40th) |
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