The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (33-2) are 12.5-point favorites as they try to earn a trip to the Sweet 16 in an NCAA Tournament second round East Region bracket matchup against the No. 9 seed TCU Horned Frogs (23-11) on Saturday at Bon Secours Wellness Arena, starting at 5:15 p.m. ET on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 140.5 points.
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Duke Cover -12.5 vs TCU -108
Duke vs. TCU betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -877
- TCU moneyline odds to win: +568
- Spread: Duke (-12.5)
- Total: 140.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Blue Devils have been scoring 81.3 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Duke has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 63.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 63.2 it has conceded this season.
- The Blue Devils are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 9.5 threes per game and shooting 35.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9 makes and 34.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-16-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 8-12-0 (As Favorite: 18-16-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 11-24-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 29-2 (Home: 13-0; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (27th in nation) | 39.2 (ninth) | 37.4 (eighth) | 26.5 (seventh) | 16.6 (38th) | 10.1 (95th) |
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TCU statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Horned Frogs are putting up 77.3 points per contest, compared to their season average of 77.9.
- TCU is surrendering 73.2 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 71.8 points allowed.
- The Horned Frogs are draining 7.6 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 0.2 more than their average for the season (7.4). Likewise, they have a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.8%) compared to their season average from three-point land (33.3%).
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-14-0 (Home: 9-10-0; Away: 6-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 10-3-0)
- O-U-P: 15-19-0 (Home: 8-11-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-5 (Home: 13-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-6 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (204th in nation) | 44.5 (196th) | 32.5 (141st) | 29.6 (85th) | 15.5 (81st) | 10.2 (103rd) |

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