The No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers (25-3, 13-2 ACC) will attempt to continue a nine-game winning streak when they visit the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (26-2, 14-1 ACC) at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026 as 10-point underdogs. The Blue Devils have won five games in a row. The matchup’s over/under is 141.5.

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Duke vs. Virginia betting lines

• Duke moneyline odds to win: -595
• Virginia moneyline odds to win: +416
• Spread: Duke (-10)
• Total: 141.5

Duke statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Duke has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered six times in 13 games when playing at home, and it has covered seven times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• When it comes to point totals, the Blue Devils hit the over more consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total four times in 13 opportunities this season (30.8%). On the road, they have hit the over three times in 10 opportunities (30%).
• Duke has played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 11-0, compared to going 8-1 in road games.

Recent trends

• On offense, the Blue Devils have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 78.6 points per contest over that span compared to the 83 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
• Duke’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has allowed 59 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 62.9 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
• The Blue Devils’ 8.1 made three-pointers per-game average in their past 10 games are less than the 8.9 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 35.2% compared to their season-long percentage of 34.9% from long distance.

Duke betting records this season

• ATS Record: 16-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 10+: 12-9-0 (As Favorite: 15-12-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
• O-U-P: 8-20-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 3-7-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 22-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 8-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)

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Virginia statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Virginia has performed better against the spread on the road (5-4-0) than at home (8-7-0) this year.
• Cavaliers games have gone above the over/under 33.3% of the time at home (five of 15), and 44.4% of the time away (four of nine).

Recent trends

• While the Cavaliers are scoring 82.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 79.3 points per contest.
• Over its previous 10 games, Virginia is surrendering 69 points per game, 1.2 more points than its season average (67.8).
• Over their last 10 games, the Cavaliers are making 9.7 threes per contest, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (10.3). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (34.9%) compared to their season average (36.3%).

Virginia betting records this season

• ATS Record: 15-13-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
• O-U-P: 11-17-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 4-5-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 12-1; Away: 5-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-0)