The ACC championship will be decided Saturday as the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (31-2, 17-1 ACC) meet the No. 2 Virginia Cavaliers (29-4, 15-3 ACC) at 8:30 p.m. ET, live on ESPN. Duke is listed as a 6.5-point favorite to win the contest and claim the conference title and an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is set at 140.5.
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Duke Cover -6.5 vs Virginia -110
Duke vs. Virginia betting lines
- Duke moneyline odds to win: -309
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: +240
- Spread: Duke (-6.5)
- Total: 140.5
Duke statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Blue Devils’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, scoring 80.5 points a contest compared to the 82.5 they’ve averaged this season.
- Duke’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (60.7) is 2.2 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.9).
- During their last 10 contests, the Blue Devils are making one more three-pointer per game than their season long average (10.1 compared to 9.1 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38% compared to 35.2% season-long).
Duke betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-14-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 16-14-0 (As Favorite: 18-14-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 10-23-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 27-2 (Home: 13-0; Away: 9-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.4 (19th in nation) | 39.1 (ninth) | 37.5 (seventh) | 26.4 (seventh) | 16.8 (32nd) | 10.2 (99th) |
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Virginia statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers are posting 76.8 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 4.2 fewer points than their average for the season (81).
- Virginia has fared worse defensively in its previous 10 games, allowing 69.1 points per contest, 0.9 more points than its season average of 68.2.
- In their past 10 games, the Cavaliers are making 10.3 threes per game, 0.1 more than their season average (10.2). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (36.7%) compared to their season average (36%).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-16-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 14-15-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 14-19-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 24-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (107th in nation) | 39.6 (13th) | 36.8 (18th) | 28.6 (44th) | 16.8 (32nd) | 10.3 (112th) |

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