Florida vs. Ole Miss betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Ole Miss Rebels (11-15, 3-10 SEC) are heavy underdogs (by 13.5 points) to break a three-game home losing streak when they host the No. 12 Florida Gators (20-6, 11-2 SEC) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET. The over/under is 150.5 in the matchup.

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Florida Cover -13.5 vs Ole Miss -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Florida vs. Ole Miss betting lines

  • Florida moneyline odds to win: -1176
  • Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +713
  • Spread: Florida (-13.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Florida statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Florida has performed worse when playing at home, covering five times in 13 home games, and six times in seven road games.
  • The Gators have exceeded the total more consistently at home, hitting the over in five of 13 home matchups (38.5%). In away games, they have hit the over in two of seven games (28.6%).
  • Florida has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 10-1 (.909). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 5-1 (.833).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Gators have increased their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 87.5 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 86.1 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
  • The last 10 games have seen Florida concede 0.2 more points per game (71.3) than its season-long average (71.1).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Gators are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.4), while shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (32.2% compared to 29.4% season-long).

Florida betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 6-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 12-12-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-16-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-4 (Home: 10-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.0 (76th in nation) 40.4 (26th) 42.8 (first) 27.4 (19th) 16.2 (54th) 11.2 (201st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Florida vs. Ole Miss? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Ole Miss statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This season, Ole Miss is 3-9-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). Away, it is 6-3-0 ATS (.667).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Rebels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (66.7%, eight of 12) than on the road (55.6%, five of nine).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Rebels have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (2-7).

Recent trends

  • The Rebels have fared worse offensively over their past 10 games, compiling 72.5 points per contest, 1.7 fewer points their than season average of 74.2.
  • While Ole Miss is ceding 73.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 80.9 points per contest.
  • The Rebels are making 0.2 fewer threes per contest over their last 10 games (7.3) compared to their season average (7.5), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (31.7%) compared to their season mark (33.6%).

Ole Miss betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-17-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 6-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-9-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-12 (Home: 0-3; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.9 (264th in nation) 43.2 (120th) 30.6 (269th) 32.1 (246th) 13.5 (211th) 8.9 (11th)
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