Florida International vs. Missouri State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (13-13, 7-8 CUSA) are underdogs (+3.5) as they try to stop a four-game losing streak when they visit the Florida International Panthers (12-14, 5-10 CUSA) at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Ocean Bank Convocation Center. The game airs on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 155.5.

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Florida International Cover -3.5 vs Missouri State -117

Bet $20, Payout $37.09

Florida International vs. Missouri State betting lines

  • Florida International moneyline odds to win: -190
  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +153
  • Spread: Florida International (-3.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Florida International statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Florida International has performed better at home, covering eight times in 12 home games, and six times in 11 road games.
  • At home, the Panthers exceed the over/under 50% of the time (six of 12 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 63.6% of games (seven of 11).
  • Florida International has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 6-4 (.600). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 0-1 (.000).

Recent trends

  • The Panthers have been racking up 77.1 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 81.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
  • Florida International has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 79.0 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 78.2 it has surrendered this season.
  • While the Panthers are knocking down fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.3 per game) compared to their season-long average (7.7), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.1% from deep over the last 10, 35.7% on the season).

Florida International betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-9-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-5-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-10-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-5 (Home: 6-4; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-9 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.7 (149th in nation) 43.0 (106th) 34.8 (56th) 32.5 (266th) 14.9 (118th) 12.6 (309th)

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Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Missouri State has had better results away (5-5-0) than at home (6-7-0).
  • Bears games have finished above the over/under more often at home (eight times out of 13) than away (six of 10) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Bears have performed better offensively over their previous 10 games, compiling 75.8 points per contest, 0.2 more than their season average of 75.6.
  • Missouri State is ceding 78.1 points per contest over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.7 points allowed.
  • In their past 10 games, the Bears are making 8.2 three-pointers per contest, 0.6 more than their season average (7.6). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (34.2%) compared to their season average (32.1%).

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 4-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 7-6; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.5 (223rd in nation) 45.0 (236th) 31.1 (242nd) 30.7 (162nd) 14.2 (159th) 11.0 (181st)
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