Fresno State vs. Air Force betting: College basketball preview for January 17

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Fresno State Bulldogs (4-13, 0-6 MWC) take a six-game losing streak into a home matchup with the Air Force Falcons (3-14, 0-6 MWC), losers of seven straight. The Falcons are underdogs by 4.5 points in the contest, which begins at 10:00 PM ET (on MW Network) on Friday, January 17, 2025. The matchup has an over/under of 141 points.

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Fresno State Cover -4.5 vs Air Force -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Fresno State vs. Air Force betting lines

  • Fresno State moneyline odds to win: -195
  • Air Force moneyline odds to win: +161
  • Spread: Fresno State (-4.5)
  • Total: 141

Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Fresno State has fared worse when playing at home, covering three times in seven home games, and five times in eight road games.
  • The Bulldogs have exceeded the total less often at home, hitting the over in four of seven home matchups (57.1%). On the road, they have hit the over in five of eight games (62.5%).

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs have been scoring 71.6 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 73.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Fresno State’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 85.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 82.5 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Bulldogs are making 1.0 more three-pointer per game than their season long average (8.2 compared to 7.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (36.9% compared to 32.3% season-long).

Fresno State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-6-1 (Home: 3-3-1; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 1-1-1 (As Favorite: 1-1-1; As Underdog: 9-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-6-1 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 5-2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-13 (Home: 0-4; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.3 (348th in nation) 46.9 (326th) 32.5 (189th) 39.3 (364th) 11.4 (335th) 12.8 (294th)

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Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Air Force has had better results on the road (4-3-0) than at home (2-7-0).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Falcons’ games have finished above the over/under at home (55.6%, five of nine) than on the road (71.4%, five of seven).
  • The Falcons’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-4) and on the road (0-7).

Recent trends

  • While the Falcons are putting up 63.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 60.6 points per contest.
  • In its past 10 games, Air Force is allowing 71.3 points per game, 1.7 more points than its season average (69.6).
  • The Falcons are sinking 7.1 three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games, which is 1.0 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.1). In addition, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.3%) compared to their season average from downtown (34.7%).

Air Force betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 7-10-0 (Home: 2-7-0; Away: 4-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 2-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-11 (Home: 0-4; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.4 (151st in nation) 46.9 (326th) 25.5 (361st) 30.7 (157th) 13.8 (179th) 11.8 (220th)
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