The Air Force Falcons (3-17, 0-9 MWC) are underdogs (by 9.5 points) to break a six-game home losing streak when they host the Fresno State Bulldogs (9-11, 3-6 MWC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 136.5.

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Fresno State vs. Air Force betting lines

• Fresno State moneyline odds to win: -581
• Air Force moneyline odds to win: +421
• Spread: Fresno State (-9.5)
• Total: 136.5

Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Fresno State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered eight times in 12 opportunities at home, and it has covered two times in five opportunities in away games.
• The Bulldogs have eclipsed the over/under more often when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 12 home matchups (41.7%). In away games, they have hit the over in two of five games (40%).
• Fresno State has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 2-3 (.400). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 1-1 (.500).

Recent trends

• The Bulldogs have seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 68.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, 3.6 points fewer than the 71.8 they’ve scored this season.
• The last 10 games have seen Fresno State concede 1.0 more point per game (71.7) than its season-long average (70.7).
• The Bulldogs’ last 10 contests have seen them make 7.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.3 makes and 31.0%.

Fresno State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-8-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 2-3-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
• O-U-P: 7-12-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 2-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 4-3; Away: 0-3)

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Air Force statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Air Force’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .417 (5-7-0). Away, it is .286 (2-5-0).
• Falcons games have gone above the over/under 58.3% of the time at home (seven of 12), and 42.9% of the time away (three of seven).
• The Falcons, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-9) than on the road (0-7) this season.

Recent trends

• The Falcons have performed worse offensively over their last 10 games, tallying 55.4 points per contest, 5.9 fewer points their than season average of 61.3.
• Over its past 10 games, Air Force is allowing 79.5 points per game, 2.3 more points than its season average (77.2).
• The Falcons are sinking 0.1 fewer three-pointers per contest in their previous 10 games (6.2) compared to their season average (6.3), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.7%) compared to their season mark (29.9%).

Air Force betting records this season

• ATS Record: 7-13-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 2-5-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 6-12-0)
• O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 3-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-17 (Home: 1-9; Away: 0-7)