The Air Force Falcons (3-21, 0-13 MWC) are heavy underdogs (+16.5) as they attempt to end a 17-game losing streak when they visit the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-13, 5-8 MWC) at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 14, 2026 at Save Mart Center. The contest airs on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 141.5 points.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $39.05
Fresno State Cover -16.5 vs Air Force -105
Fresno State vs. Air Force betting lines
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: -2083
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +990
- Spread: Fresno State (-16.5)
- Total: 141.5
Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Fresno State has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered nine times in 13 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered five times in eight opportunities in away games.
- When playing at home, the Bulldogs exceed the over/under 46.2% of the time (six of 13 games). They hit the over more consistently in away games, exceeding the total in 50% of games (four of eight).
- As a moneyline favorite, Fresno State has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.400) compared to road games (.667).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Bulldogs have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 70.9 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 72.9 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- Fresno State’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 72.4 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 72.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Bulldogs’ last 10 outings have seen them make 7.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.2% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.6 makes and 31.9%.
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-8-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-13-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 2-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-9 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.9 (259th in nation) | 43.8 (162nd) | 31.2 (242nd) | 32.3 (250th) | 13.0 (253rd) | 12.7 (315th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Fresno State vs. Air Force? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Air Force has had better results on the road (3-5-0) than at home (5-10-0).
- Falcons games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (10 times out of 15) than on the road (four of eight) this year.
- In 2025-26 as moneyline underdogs, the Falcons have a better winning percentage at home (.077, 1-12 record) than away (.000, 0-8).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Falcons are putting up 59.2 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points than their season average (61.4).
- Air Force has fared worse defensively in its past 10 games, giving up 85.7 points per contest, 7.3 more points than its season average of 78.4.
- The Falcons are sinking 7.9 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 1.2 more than their average for the season (6.7). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (33.8%) compared to their season average from downtown (31.5%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-16-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 7-15-0)
- O-U-P: 14-10-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-0 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-21 (Home: 1-12; Away: 0-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.8 (305th in nation) | 48.6 (354th) | 26.6 (360th) | 32.3 (250th) | 12.3 (295th) | 13.7 (347th) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
