Fresno State vs. San Jose State betting: College basketball preview for March 3

Data Skrive

The Fresno State Bulldogs (12-17, 6-12 MWC) are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to turn around a four-game losing streak when they host the San Jose State Spartans (8-21, 3-15 MWC) on Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at Save Mart Center. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 149.5.

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Spread

Fresno State Cover -7.5 vs San Jose State -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Fresno State vs. San Jose State betting lines

  • Fresno State moneyline odds to win: -358
  • San Jose State moneyline odds to win: +275
  • Spread: Fresno State (-7.5)
  • Total: 149.5

Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Fresno State has fared worse at home, covering 11 times in 16 home games, and seven times in 10 road games.
  • The Bulldogs have eclipsed the total in the same percentage of games at home as road games (50%).
  • Fresno State has played worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 3-3, compared to going 2-1 away from home.

Recent trends

  • The Bulldogs have seen an increase in scoring recently, putting up 74.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 1.4 points more than the 73.3 they’ve scored this season.
  • Fresno State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 76.4 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 72.8 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2025-26 season.
  • Over their last 10 contests, the Bulldogs are making the same number of three-pointers per game as their season long average (7.4), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.9% compared to 31.9% season-long).

Fresno State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 19-9-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 13-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-15-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 5-5; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.9 (198th in nation) 44.2 (176th) 31.0 (238th) 32.1 (246th) 13.0 (250th) 12.1 (288th)

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San Jose State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, San Jose State is 6-8-0 at home against the spread (.429 winning percentage). Away, it is 7-5-0 ATS (.583).
  • Spartans games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (10 times out of 14) than on the road (eight of 12) this year.
  • The Spartans’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .100 (1-9), and away it is .000 (0-11).

Recent trends

  • While the Spartans are posting 71.3 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark over their previous 10 games, tallying 72.6 a contest.
  • While San Jose State is surrendering 77.7 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its previous 10 games, allowing 80.6 points per contest.
  • The Spartans are making 9.5 treys per contest with a 38.6% three-point percentage over their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.0 and 36.5%.

San Jose State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 10-8-0 (As Favorite: 4-2-0; As Underdog: 10-12-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-10-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-21 (Home: 1-9; Away: 0-11)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.2 (293rd in nation) 49.5 (360th) 26.8 (358th) 31.2 (201st) 10.9 (350th) 9.8 (56th)
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