Geno Smith will look to make an impact for the Las Vegas Raiders when they play the Los Angeles Chargers at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 13 of the 2025 NFL season. Here is analysis of Smith’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you assess your best bets.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Geno Smith to go over 206.5 yards
Geno Smith Prop Lines
- Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 30, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 206.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 8.5 (-105)
Geno Smith Stats and Trends
- Smith has passed for 2,367 yards (215.2 per game) for Las Vegas, completing 66.6% and tossing 13 TD passes and 13 interceptions on the year.
- Sunday’s over/under for Smith is 206.5 passing yards. That’s 8.7 fewer yards than his 215.2 average for the season.
- In six of 11 matchups this year, Smith has topped 206.5 passing yards.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 225.8. His actual passing average is below that — by 10.6 yards per game.
- This season, Smith has hit the over on his passing yards prop total in five of 11 opportunities.
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in seven of 11 games this season, with more than one TD throw three times.
- Smith has run for 110 yards as well, on 37 carries, averaging 10.0 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Chargers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | 249 | 1 |
| 2 | Raiders | 150 | 0 |
| 3 | Broncos | 147 | 1 |
| 4 | Giants | 89 | 1 |
| 5 | Commanders | 226 | 1 |
| 6 | Dolphins | 204 | 1 |
| 7 | Colts | 281 | 2 |
| 8 | Vikings | 130 | 1 |
| 9 | Titans | 118 | 0 |
| 10 | Steelers | 148 | 1 |
| 11 | Jaguars | 153 | 1 |
Raiders Away Splits
- The Raiders score fewer points away from home (11.4 per game) than they do overall (15), and allow more (27 per game) than overall (25.2).
- The Raiders pick up fewer yards away from home (264.4 per game) than they do overall (268.9), and give up more (341.4 per game) than overall (321.6).
- The Raiders accumulate more passing yards on the road (193.6 per game) than they do overall (189.5), but they also allow more (222.8 per game) than overall (218.3).
- The Raiders accumulate fewer rushing yards in away games (70.8 per game) than they do overall (79.5), and concede more (118.6 per game) than overall (103.4).
- On the road, the Raiders successfully convert fewer third downs (31.7%) than overall (36.2%). They also allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (48.4%) than overall (43%).
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