NFL action for Week 14 includes the Las Vegas Raiders and Geno Smith taking on the Denver Broncos at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we take a look at Smith’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Geno Smith to go over 204.5 yards
Geno Smith Prop Lines
- Matchup: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
- Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 204.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 9.5 (-107)
Geno Smith Stats and Trends
- Smith has 2,532 passing yards (211.0 per game), connecting on 67.3% of his throws, with 15 TDs and 14 picks this season.
- Smith is passing for 211.0 yards per game, which is 6.5 more than his over/under on Sunday.
- In six of 12 games this year, Smith has exceeded 204.5 passing yards.
- He has come up short of his season prop bet average (224.4 passing yards) by 13.4 yards per game.
- This year, Smith has surpassed his passing yards prop total in five of 12 opportunities.
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in eight of 12 games (including multiple TDs four times).
- Smith also has chipped in via the running game, with 104 yards (8.7 per game) on 39 attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Broncos
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 62 | 0 |
| 2 | Colts | 306 | 1 |
| 3 | Chargers | 270 | 1 |
| 4 | Bengals | 106 | 0 |
| 5 | Eagles | 257 | 2 |
| 6 | Jets | -10 | 0 |
| 7 | Giants | 268 | 3 |
| 8 | Cowboys | 231 | 1 |
| 9 | Texans | 191 | 0 |
| 10 | Raiders | 114 | 0 |
| 11 | Chiefs | 249 | 1 |
| 13 | Commanders | 276 | 2 |
Raiders Home Splits
- At home, the Raiders score 18 points per game and concede 23.7. That’s more than they score overall (14.9), but less than they allow (25.7).
- At home, the Raiders rack up 272.7 yards per game and concede 305.2. That’s more than they gain overall (259.5), but less than they allow (323.3).
- The Raiders accumulate 186 passing yards per game at home (1.9 more than their overall average), and concede 214.5 at home (two more than overall).
- The Raiders accumulate 86.7 rushing yards per game at home (11.3 more than their overall average), and concede 90.7 at home (20.1 less than overall).
- The Raiders convert 39.7% of third downs in home games (4.1% higher than their overall average), and concede 38.5% at home (7.4% lower than overall).
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