Week 6 action in the NFL features Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks matching up against the San Francisco 49ers at 8:15 PM ET on Thursday. Let’s take a look at Smith’s prop bets available for this matchup, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.67
Geno Smith to go over 249.5 yards
Geno Smith Prop Lines
- Matchup: Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Date: October 10, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 249.5 (-120)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 13.5 (-110)
Geno Smith Stats and Trends
- Smith has thrown for 1,466 yards (293.2 per game), completing 71.9% of his throws, with five TDs and four INTs.
- Smith is throwing for 293.2 yards per game, which is 43.7 more than his over/under on Thursday.
- In five games this year, Smith has topped 249.5 passing yards on four occasions.
- His passing yards average of 293.2 yards is higher than his average prop total this year (241.5) by 51.7 yards.
- This season, Smith has exceeded his passing yards prop total in four of five opportunities.
- He has thrown for a touchdown in all five games this season. However, he has zero games with multiple passing TDs.
- In addition Smith has 146 yards on the ground (29.2 per game), on 20 carries plus one touchdown.
Recent Performances vs. the 49ers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jets | 198 | 2 |
| 2 | Vikings | 257 | 2 |
| 3 | Rams | 198 | 1 |
| 4 | Patriots | 143 | 1 |
| 5 | Cardinals | 189 | 1 |
Seahawks Home Splits
- The Seahawks’ average points scored (23.3) and conceded (17.3) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 24.4 and 22.8, respectively.
- The Seahawks rack up 335.7 yards per game at home (40.5 less than their overall average), and concede 285.3 at home (25.7 less than overall).
- In home games, the Seahawks rack up 219.7 passing yards per game and give up 172.3. That’s less than they gain (270.8) and allow (183) overall.
- At home, the Seahawks accumulate 116 rushing yards per game and give up 113. That’s more than they gain overall (105.4), and less than they allow (128).
- In home games, the Seahawks convert 29.4% of third downs and allow 28.3% to be converted by their opponent. That’s less than they convert (37.3%) and allow (32.4%) overall.
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