Georgia vs. Mississippi State betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-17, 5-12 SEC) are 5.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Georgia Bulldogs (21-9, 9-8 SEC) on Saturday, March 7, 2026 at Humphrey Coliseum. The contest airs at 3:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The point total is 164.5 for the matchup.

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Georgia Cover -5.5 vs Mississippi State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Georgia vs. Mississippi State betting lines

  • Georgia moneyline odds to win: -234
  • Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +191
  • Spread: Georgia (-5.5)
  • Total: 164.5

Georgia statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Georgia sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (9-9-0) than it does in road games (5-4-0).
  • The Georgia Bulldogs have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of home games (61.1%) than games on the road (44.4%).
  • Georgia has performed worse as a moneyline favorite at home, sporting a home record of 11-2, compared to going 2-0 on the road.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Georgia Bulldogs have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 83.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 90.0 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • Georgia’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 83.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 78.7 points per game its opponents average this season.
  • The Georgia Bulldogs are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 10.2 threes per game and shooting 37.5% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.6 makes and 33.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Georgia betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 9-9-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 6-8-0 (As Favorite: 10-9-0; As Underdog: 5-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 11-2; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-7 (Home: 1-2; Away: 3-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.4 (51st in nation) 43.3 (114th) 35.2 (40th) 34.1 (335th) 14.9 (111th) 10.2 (100th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Georgia vs. Mississippi State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Mississippi State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .267 (4-11-0). On the road, it is .500 (5-5-0).
  • In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Mississippi State Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (26.7%, four of 15) compared to away (70%, seven of 10).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-5) than away (3-6).

Recent trends

  • While the Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 77.6 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 77.4 points per contest.
  • While Mississippi State is surrendering 81.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 86.7 points per contest.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are making 9.7 three-pointers per contest, 1.5 more than their season average (8.2). They also own a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (37.5%) compared to their season average (32.4%).

Mississippi State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-20-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 4-8-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 5-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-12 (Home: 1-5; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.7 (213th in nation) 44.1 (165th) 35.4 (34th) 35.6 (354th) 12.8 (261st) 11.1 (206th)
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