Warriors vs. Mavericks betting: NBA preview for Jan. 22

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) are 6.5-point underdogs as they look to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (25-20) on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The matchup airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA. The matchup has an over/under set at 234.5 points.

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Warriors Cover -6.5 vs Mavericks -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Warriors vs. Mavericks betting lines

  • Warriors odds to win: -242
  • Mavericks odds to win: +198
  • Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
  • Total: 234.5

Warriors Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

  • Golden State is 8-13 in road contests with an 8-13 record against the spread on the road.
  • This year, Golden State has a 2-2 record ATS in road games when playing as 6.5-point favorites or more.
  • The Warriors have hit the over in 12 of their 21 road games this year with a set over/under (57.1%).
  • Recent performance seems to go against Golden State to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 229.1 points per contest this season.

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors are 7-3 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games.
  • The Warriors’ last 10 outings saw six go over the total.
  • The last 10 Warriors games averaged 232.3 total points, 2.2 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Warriors have a points-per-game average 6.7 points above their season-long scoring average.

Warriors Betting Records

  • The Warriors have a 21-13 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 61.8% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -242 or shorter, Golden State has gone 14-3 (82.4% win percentage).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Warriors’ implied win probability is 70.8%.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.4 (21st in NBA) 47.1 (17th) 43 (21st) 44.3 (16th) 28.8 (sixth) 14.8 (25th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Warriors vs. Mavericks? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

  • The Mavericks have hit the over in 11 of their 24 home games this season with a set over/under (45.8%).
  • The Mavericks have a 14-10 record against the spread at home and is 13-11 in home contests.
  • The Mavericks have a 1-2 record ATS in home games this season when playing as 6.5-point underdogs or more.
  • The Mavericks and their opponents have averaged a total of 229.4 points per home contest this year, 5.1 points fewer than this game’s posted total.

Mavericks Recent Trends

  • The Mavericks have a 6-4 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
  • Mavericks’ last 10 contests saw three hit the over.
  • The Mavericks’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 232.3 points scored. That’s 2.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • During their last 10 games, the Mavericks have a 115.7 points-per-game average, 1.5 points above their season-long scoring average.

Mavericks Betting Records

  • Dallas has entered the game as underdogs 27 times this season and won 10, or 37%, of those games.
  • The Mavericks have a record of 6-9, a 40% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +198 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Mavericks based on the moneyline is 33.6%.
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.3 (10th in NBA) 46.3 (seventh) 44.7 (13th) 47 (27th) 25.5 (18th) 14.6 (22nd)
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Betting Guide

How Money Line Works?

Moneyline betting is by far the easiest way to place a sports wager. There are no point spreads to parse, no garbage-time free throws to ruin your betting day, and no last-minute meaningless touchdowns to take you from a winner to a loser.

How to Bet Odds

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What is the Spread?

If you are a golfer or have ever played on a bowling team, think of a point spread like a handicap. It is a way for two teams of differing abilities to play each other on equal footing.  The better team, and the favorite in the game, gives a certain amount …