The Golden State Warriors (39-28) are favored (by 4.5 points) to build on a seven-game home win streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (43-25) on Monday, March 17, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 238.5 points.
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Warriors Cover -4.5 vs Nuggets -108
Warriors vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Warriors odds to win: -173
- Nuggets odds to win: +145
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
- Total: 238.5
- TV Channel: Altitude Sports
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Golden State is 21-13 in home contests with a 16-18 record against the spread at home.
- Golden State’s record against the spread is 6-10 when playing as 4.5-point favorites or more in home games this year.
- Warriors games have gone over the set point total 18 times at home this season.
- Golden State and its opponents have averaged a total of 225.4 points per home contest this year, 13.1 points fewer than this game’s listed total.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors have a 9-1 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- The Warriors and their opponents have hit the over in six of those 10 games.
- The past 10 Warriors games averaged 11.4 fewer points (227.1) than this matchup’s over/under.
- In the last 10 games, the Warriors are scoring 5.8 points more per game compared to their season average.
Warriors Betting Records
- The Warriors have won 30 of the 42 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (71.4%).
- Golden State has gone 21-9 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -173 or shorter (winning 70%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Warriors’ implied win probability is 63.4%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (25th in NBA) | 46.2 (11th) | 45.9 (third) | 44.3 (16th) | 29.2 (third) | 13.1 (10th) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Nuggets have a 16-18 record against the spread on the road and are 20-14 in road contests.
- This season, the Nuggets are 6-8 ATS in road games as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- On the road this season, Nuggets games have gone over the set point total 18 times.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.8 points per road contest this year, 5.7 points fewer than this game’s listed total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 2-8 against the spread over their past 10 games, and have a 5-5 straight-up record in those contests.
- The final scores of the last 10 Nuggets games have gone over the set total five times.
- The past 10 Nuggets games averaged 0.5 fewer points (238.0) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Nuggets are scoring 120.6 points per game compared to their 121.2 season average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- This season, Denver has won eight out of the 16 games, or 50%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Nuggets are 3-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +145 or more on the moneyline.
- The Nuggets have a 40.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.7 (first in NBA) | 46.5 (12th) | 45.6 (fifth) | 42.5 (fifth) | 31.1 (first) | 13.4 (17th) |
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