The Miami Heat (22-20) visit the Golden State Warriors (24-19) after losing three straight road games. The Warriors are favored by 5.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, January 19, 2026. The over/under for the matchup is set at 239.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.87
Warriors Cover -5.5 vs Heat -106
Warriors vs. Heat betting lines
- Warriors odds to win: -196
- Heat odds to win: +163
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
- Total: 239.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Golden State is 16-6 in home contests and have covered the spread 13 times at home.
- Golden State has an 11-5 record ATS in home games this year when playing as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- Warriors home games have hit the over on the set point total 12 times this year.
- Recent history seems to trend against Golden State to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 231.0 points per contest this season.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors are 7-3 overall and 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The Warriors’ last 10 contests saw five hit the over.
- The Warriors’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 232.0 points scored. That’s 7.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- During the last 10 games, the Warriors are scoring 3.8 points more per game compared to their season average.
Warriors Betting Records
- The Warriors have won 20 of the 32 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).
- Golden State has a record of 17-5 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -196 or shorter (winning 77.3%).
- The Warriors have a 66.2% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (23rd in NBA) | 47.0 (17th) | 43.1 (21st) | 44.3 (16th) | 28.6 (sixth) | 14.8 (25th) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat have covered the spread 11 times on the road and are 7-13 in road contests.
- This season, the Heat are 1-1 ATS on the road as 5.5-point underdogs or more.
- Heat road games have hit the over on the set point total nine times this year.
- Recent performance seems to trend against the Heat to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 235.9 points per contest this season.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 overall and 6-4 against the spread in their past 10 contests.
- The final scores of the last 10 Heat games have exceeded the set total five times.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 237.3 total points, 2.2 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- Over the past 10 games, the Heat are scoring 117.3 points per game compared to their 119.5 season average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has won 11, or 45.8%, of the 24 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- This season, the Heat have won three of their 13 games, or 23.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +163 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 38.0% chance of a victory for the Heat.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (17th in NBA) | 46.0 (fourth) | 45.5 (sixth) | 47.5 (30th) | 28.5 (eighth) | 13.8 (14th) |
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