The Golden State Warriors (41-30) take the court against the Miami Heat (30-41) as 5.5-point favorites on Tuesday, March 25, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT, MAX, NBCS-BA, and truTV. The over/under is set at 216.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Warriors Cover -5.5 vs Heat -110
Warriors vs. Heat betting lines
- Warriors odds to win: -221
- Heat odds to win: +182
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
- Total: 216.5
- TV Channel: NBC Sports Networks
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Golden State has a 19-15 record against the spread on the road and are 18-16 in road contests.
- Golden State has gone 6-7 ATS in road games this year as 5.5-point favorites or more.
- The Warriors have hit the over in 17 of their 34 road games this season with a set over/under (50%).
- Recent performance hints at an edge to Golden State to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 226.9 points per contest.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors have covered the spread three times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
- The Warriors and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of those 10 games.
- The Warriors’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 230.2 points scored. That’s 13.7 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Warriors are scoring 1.4 points more per game compared to their season average.
Warriors Betting Records
- The Warriors have gone 31-14 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 68.9% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -221 or shorter, Golden State has a record of 19-8 (70.4% win percentage).
- The Warriors have an implied moneyline win probability of 68.8% in this game.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 (26th in NBA) | 46.4 (11th) | 45.6 (fourth) | 44.3 (18th) | 29.1 (third) | 13.2 (12th) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Heat have hit the over on a set point total in a home game 21 times this season.
- The Heat have covered the spread 18 times at home and is 16-19 in home contests.
- The Heat’s record against the spread is 6-5-1 as 5.5-point underdogs or more in home games this season.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 218.7 points per home contest this season, 2.2 points greater than this game’s listed total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 1-9 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread four times in those games.
- The Heat and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 215.8 total points, 0.7 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Heat have a 102.9 points-per-game average, 6.3 points below their season-long scoring average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has entered the game as underdogs 33 times this season and won eight, or 24.2%, of those games.
- The Heat are 3-11 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +182 or more on the moneyline.
- The Heat have a 35.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (19th in NBA) | 46.6 (14th) | 42.9 (25th) | 45 (22nd) | 26.2 (15th) | 12.9 (eighth) |
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