The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (18-6, 10-4 Big West) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (11-16, 7-8 Big West) after winning 10 home games in a row. The Rainbow Warriors are heavy favorites by 11 points in the contest, which tips at TBA ET on Friday, February 20, 2026. The matchup’s point total is set at 161.5.
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Hawaii Cover -11 vs Cal Poly -110
Hawaii vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- Hawaii moneyline odds to win: -758
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +514
- Spread: Hawaii (-11)
- Total: 161.5
Hawaii statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Hawaii has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (4-5-0) than it has in home games (5-8-0).
- When playing at home, the Rainbow Warriors exceed the total 23.1% of the time (three of 13 games). They hit the over more often in road games, topping the total in 44.4% of games (four of nine).
- Hawaii has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-1 (.917). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 4-2 (.667).
Recent trends
- The Rainbow Warriors have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 78.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.0 point fewer than the 79.8 they’ve scored this year.
- Hawaii’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 74.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 67.8 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- The Rainbow Warriors’ last 10 outings have seen them make 8.0 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.6 makes and 32.5%.
Hawaii betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-15-0 (Home: 3-10-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-3 (Home: 11-1; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (130th in nation) | 40.6 (32nd) | 36.1 (33rd) | 30.2 (133rd) | 14.3 (152nd) | 13.2 (335th) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Cal Poly’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (5-5-0). On the road, it is .571 (8-6-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Mustangs games have gone over four of 10 times at home (40%), and 10 of 14 away (71.4%).
- The Mustangs, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (4-5) than away (4-8) this year.
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Mustangs are averaging 81.5 points per contest, 0.2 more than their season average (81.3).
- Cal Poly has performed better defensively over its last 10 games, surrendering 84.6 points per contest, 0.7 fewer points than its season average of 85.3 allowed.
- The Mustangs are sinking 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game in their previous 10 games (10.8) compared to their season average (11.0), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.2%) compared to their season mark (33.9%).
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-12-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 8-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 12-10-0)
- O-U-P: 14-11-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 10-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-14 (Home: 4-5; Away: 4-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 (286th in nation) | 46.0 (283rd) | 33.4 (109th) | 33.2 (303rd) | 13.3 (224th) | 15.4 (365th) |
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