Jeremy Pena leads the Houston Astros (36-41) into a matchup against the Cleveland Guardians (40-36) after his two-home run showing in a 9-3 win over the Guardians. The Astros are favored on the moneyline (-128) in this game against the underdog Guardians (+106), which begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday. Spencer Arrighetti starts for Houston, and Joey Cantillo is Cleveland’s choice to start.

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Astros vs. Guardians betting lines

• Favorite: Astros (-128)
• Underdog: Guardians (+106)
• Over/under: 8.5

Astros betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Astros betting info

• The Astros have won 11 of the 26 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (42.3%).
• Houston has an 8-10 record (winning 44.4% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -128 or shorter.
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Astros’ implied win probability is 56.1%.
• Houston has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 77 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-32-4).
• The Astros have a 37-40-0 record against the spread this season.

Astros hitting info

• Yordan Alvarez has racked up a team-high batting average of .324, and leads the Astros in home runs (24) and runs batted in (55).
• Among hitters in MLB play, Alvarez ranks second in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Alvarez has safely hit in nine straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .366 with two doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBIs.
• Christian Walker has 14 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 26 walks while batting .242.
• Walker ranks 11th in home runs and eighth in RBI among hitters in baseball.
• Isaac Paredes is hitting .238 with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Paredes has safely hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBIs.
• Pena has eight doubles, six home runs and 12 walks while batting .289.
• Pena has safely hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .348 with a double, three home runs and six RBIs.

Astros pitching rankings

• The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Astros pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors.
• Houston has a 4.85 team ERA that ranks 28th among all MLB pitching staffs.
• Pitchers for the Astros combine for the fifth-worst WHIP in baseball (1.415).
• The Astros give up the 25th-fewest home runs in baseball (98 total, 1.3 per game).
• Houston knocked off the Guardians 9-3 in its last game with 15 strikeouts while allowing seven hits.

Guardians betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Guardians betting info

• The Guardians have won 19, or 52.8%, of the 36 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
• This season, Cleveland has won 16 of its 28 games, or 57.1%, when it’s the underdog by at least +106 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win by the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 48.5%.
• Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 76 games with a total this season.
• The Guardians are 39-37-0 ATS in their 76 games with a spread this season.

Guardians hitting info

• Brayan Rocchio leads Cleveland with a batting average of .273. He’s also hit five home runs with 33 RBI.
• Rocchio ranks 186th in homers and 90th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Steven Kwan has collected 50 hits this season and has an OBP of .319. He’s slugging .256 on the year.
• Kwan ranks 366th in homers and 290th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Travis Bazzana is slashing .256/.356/.427 this season for the Guardians.
• Bazzana brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a home run, five walks and an RBI.
• Rhys Hoskins has collected 31 hits this season and has an OBP of .318. He’s slugging .370 on the year.

Guardians pitching rankings

• The Guardians strike out 9.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, third-best in MLB.
• Cleveland pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.85 ERA this year, sixth-best in baseball.
• Guardians pitchers have a 1.270 WHIP this season, 10th-best in the majors.
• With 90 homers allowed, the Guardians rank 21st in the league at preventing long balls.
• Last time out, Cleveland fell to the Astros 9-3. Its pitchers compiled 11 strikeouts and 12 hits allowed.