Big 12 opponents square off when the No. 7 Houston Cougars (24-5, 12-4 Big 12) host the Baylor Bears (15-14, 5-11 Big 12) at Fertitta Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 4, 2026. The Cougars are 13.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has a point total of 143.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.87
Houston Cover -13.5 vs Baylor -106
Houston vs. Baylor betting lines
- Houston moneyline odds to win: -1316
- Baylor moneyline odds to win: +771
- Spread: Houston (-13.5)
- Total: 143.5
Houston statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Houston sports a better record against the spread at home (9-6-0) than it does in road games (4-4-0).
- The Cougars have exceeded the over/under in four of 15 home games (26.7%). They’ve done better in away games, eclipsing the total in three of eight matchups (37.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Houston has taken 11 of 12 games at home, good for a .917 winning percentage. It has won four of six games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Cougars’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 74.6 points a contest compared to the 77.5 they’ve averaged this year.
- Houston has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 63.5 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 62.3 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
- During their last 10 contests, the Cougars are making 0.9 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.9 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (33.5% compared to 34.1% season-long).
Houston betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 9-6-0 (As Favorite: 15-13-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 12-17-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-4 (Home: 11-1; Away: 4-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (200th in nation) | 40.3 (24th) | 32.8 (121st) | 28.7 (49th) | 15.0 (107th) | 7.7 (first) |
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Baylor statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Baylor’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .400 (6-9-0). Away, it is .444 (4-5-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Bears games have gone over more often at home (10 of 15, 66.7%) than away (three of nine, 33.3%).
- The Bears’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-5), and away it is .333 (2-4).
Recent trends
- In their previous 10 games, the Bears are putting up 75.4 points per contest, 7.3 fewer points than their season average (82.7).
- Baylor is ceding 77.1 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 0.1 more points than it is allowing for the season (77.0).
- The Bears are sinking 0.6 fewer threes per game in their previous 10 games (7.6) compared to their season average (8.2), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (32.2%) compared to their season mark (34.8%).
Baylor betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 4-9-0)
- O-U-P: 15-13-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-11 (Home: 0-5; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (43rd in nation) | 45.1 (239th) | 33.9 (79th) | 29.4 (83rd) | 15.6 (83rd) | 11.2 (212th) |
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