The top-seeded Houston Cougars (33-4) and the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (30-7) will compete for a spot in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Sunday. Houston is favored by 2.5 points in the Midwest Region bracket final, which starts at 2:20 p.m. ET on CBS. The matchup has an over/under set at 125.5 points.
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Houston Cover -2.5 vs Tennessee -116
Houston vs. Tennessee betting lines
- Houston moneyline odds to win: -156
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +131
- Spread: Houston (-2.5)
- Total: 125.5
Houston statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Cougars have been putting up 71.6 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 74.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Houston has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 60.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 58.5 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
- The Cougars are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.8 threes per game and shooting 39.2% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.1 makes and 39.8% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Houston betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-18-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 18-18-0 (As Favorite: 18-18-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
- O-U-P: 14-22-1 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 3-6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 31-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5 (130th in nation) | 38.4 (third) | 32.9 (125th) | 26.4 (sixth) | 12.2 (279th) | 8.5 (fourth) |
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Tennessee statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Volunteers are compiling 74.7 points per contest, the same number of points as their season average.
- Tennessee is allowing 68.6 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 62.9 points allowed.
- In their previous 10 games, the Volunteers are sinking 7.6 treys per contest, 0.7 fewer threes than their season average (8.3). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.2%) compared to their season average (34.3%).
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-17-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 16-15-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 16-21-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 4-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 26-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 4-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (122nd in nation) | 38.5 (fourth) | 33.2 (104th) | 27.1 (12th) | 15.5 (61st) | 9.6 (40th) |

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