The Miami Heat (29-40) will look to stop a nine-game losing streak when they host the Houston Rockets (45-25) on Friday, March 21, 2025 at Kaseya Center as 4.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on SCHN, FDSSUN, and NBA TV. The matchup has an over/under of 213.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Rockets Cover -4.5 vs Heat -111
Rockets vs. Heat betting lines
- Rockets odds to win: -193
- Heat odds to win: +161
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- Total: 213
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Rockets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Houston has covered the spread 20 times on the road and are 19-15 in road contests.
- This season, Houston has a 7-5 record ATS in road games when playing as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- The Rockets have hit the over on a set point total in a road game 21 times this season.
- This season on the road Houston and its opponents have averaged a total of 223.5 points per contest, 10.5 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Rockets Recent Trends
- The Rockets have a 8-2 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
- The past 10 Rockets games averaged 10.9 more points (223.9) than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over the past 10 games, the Rockets are scoring 6.6 points more per game compared to their season average.
Rockets Betting Records
- The Rockets have a 36-12 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -193 or shorter, Houston has a record of 22-7 (75.9% win percentage).
- The Rockets have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.9% in this game.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (23rd in NBA) | 45.4 (fourth) | 48.7 (first) | 42.4 (fifth) | 23 (28th) | 13.2 (12th) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Heat have hit the over in 20 of their 33 home games this season with a set over/under (60.6%).
- The Heat are 15-18 in home contests and have covered the spread 16 times at home.
- This season, the Heat are 5-6-1 ATS at home as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 219.0 points per home contest this season, 6.0 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread four times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 1-9 record straight-up in those games.
- The final scores of the past 10 Heat games have gone over the set total three times.
- The past 10 Heat games averaged 3.9 more points (216.9) than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Heat’s per-game scoring average over their past 10 games is 102.2, 6.9 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has been underdogs in 32 games this season and won eight (25%) of those contests.
- The Heat are 3-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +161 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 38.3% chance of a victory for the Heat.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (21st in NBA) | 46.6 (12th) | 43.2 (23rd) | 45.1 (21st) | 26.2 (16th) | 12.8 (seventh) |
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