The Houston Rockets (23-15) take the court against the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) as 4.5-point favorites on Friday, January 16, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and SCHN. The matchup has an over/under of 221.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Rockets Cover -4.5 vs Timberwolves -109
Rockets vs. Timberwolves betting lines
- Rockets odds to win: -173
- Timberwolves odds to win: +144
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- Total: 221.5
- TV Channel: Space City Home Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Rockets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Houston is 12-3 in home contests and have covered the spread six times at home.
- This year, Houston is 5-7 ATS at home as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- Rockets games have gone over the set point total seven times at home this season.
- This season at home, Houston and its opponents have averaged a total of 226.8 points per contest, 5.3 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Rockets Recent Trends
- The Rockets have covered the spread twice in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The Rockets and their opponents have combined to hit the over twice in those games.
- The Rockets’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 223.4 points scored. That’s 1.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- During the last 10 games, the Rockets are scoring 9.0 points less per game compared to their season average.
Rockets Betting Records
- The Rockets have won 22 of the 35 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (62.9%).
- In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -173 or shorter, Houston has gone 18-11 (62.1% win percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 63.4%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (seventh in NBA) | 46.2 (eighth) | 49.4 (first) | 38.2 (first) | 24.9 (22nd) | 14.5 (19th) |
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Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Timberwolves have a 9-11 record against the spread on the road and are 12-8 in road contests.
- The Timberwolves have a 5-7 record ATS in road games this year as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- Timberwolves games have hit the over on the set point total 13 times on the road this year.
- Recent history hints at an edge to the Timberwolves to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 233.3 points per contest.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
- The Timberwolves’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 236.6 points scored. That’s 15.1 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Timberwolves’ per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 124.1, 3.8 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- This season, Minnesota has been the underdog nine times and won three of those games.
- The Timberwolves have a record of 2-2 when they’re set as an underdog of +144 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win by the Timberwolves based on the moneyline is 41.0%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (fourth in NBA) | 46.0 (sixth) | 44.8 (10th) | 43.1 (10th) | 27.0 (10th) | 13.5 (eighth) |
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