The Houston Rockets (37-22) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to continue a three-game home win streak when they take on the Sacramento Kings (30-28) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Toyota Center. The contest airs at 8 p.m. ET on NBCS-CA and SCHN. The matchup has a point total of 230.5.
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Rockets Cover -4.5 vs Kings -112
Rockets vs. Kings betting lines
- Rockets odds to win: -185
- Kings odds to win: +154
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
- Total: 230.5
- TV Channel: Space City Home Network
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Rockets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Houston has a 15-14 record against the spread at home and is 20-9 in home contests.
- This season, Houston is 9-9 ATS in home games when playing as 4.5-point favorites or more.
- The Rockets have hit the over in 12 of their 29 home games this year with a set over/under (41.4%).
- Recent history seems to trend against Houston to beat the total. Their home games have averaged a total of 222.2 points per contest this season.
Rockets Recent Trends
- The Rockets are 5-5 overall and 3-7 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The Rockets’ last 10 contests saw four hit the over.
- The last 10 Rockets games averaged 222.7 total points, 7.8 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.
- During their past 10 games, the Rockets have a points-per-game average 4.7 points below their season-long scoring average.
Rockets Betting Records
- The Rockets have a 28-11 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 71.8% of those games).
- Houston has a record of 20-8 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -185 or shorter (winning 71.4%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Rockets have an implied win probability of 64.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (25th in NBA) | 45.3 (fourth) | 48.2 (first) | 42.9 (seventh) | 22.7 (30th) | 13.1 (11th) |
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Kings Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Kings are 15-14 in road contests and have covered the spread 12 times on the road.
- This year, the Kings are 6-7 ATS on the road as 4.5-point underdogs or more.
- Kings games have gone over the set point total 15 times on the road this season.
- This season on the road the Kings and their opponents have averaged a total of 230.8 points per contest, 0.3 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Kings Recent Trends
- The Kings are 6-4 overall and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Kings games have exceeded the set total six times.
- The last 10 Kings games averaged 233.0 total points, 2.5 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- In the last 10 games, the Kings are scoring 118.9 points per game compared to their 116.9 season average.
Kings Betting Records
- Sacramento has entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won five, or 35.7%, of those games.
- The Kings have a record of 2-3 when they’re set as an underdog of +154 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 39.4% chance of a victory for the Kings.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (10th in NBA) | 46.7 (18th) | 45.0 (10th) | 42.9 (seventh) | 26.9 (12th) | 13.0 (eighth) |

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