Idaho vs. Sacramento State betting: Big Sky Tournament preview for March 7

Data Skrive

The No. 7 seed Idaho Vandals (17-14, 9-9 Big Sky) are favored by 6.5 points when they face off the No. 8 seed Sacramento State Hornets (10-20, 6-12 Big Sky) in the Big Sky Tournament Saturday at Idaho Central Arena, starting at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Big Sky championship. The point total is 158.5 in the matchup.

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Spread

Idaho Cover -6.5 vs Sacramento State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Idaho vs. Sacramento State betting lines

  • Idaho moneyline odds to win: -269
  • Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +217
  • Spread: Idaho (-6.5)
  • Total: 158.5

Idaho statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Vandals have been racking up 76.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Idaho has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 73.2 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.8 it has surrendered per game this season.
  • While the Vandals are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (10.4 per game) compared to their season-long average (10.5), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (37.8% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 36.6% on the season).

Idaho betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-16-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 6-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-7 (Home: 6-4; Away: 4-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.8 (207th in nation) 43.9 (153rd) 33.0 (117th) 29.6 (92nd) 13.1 (240th) 10.5 (135th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Idaho vs. Sacramento State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Sacramento State statistics, trends and more

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Hornets are posting 80.7 points per game, 1.9 more than their season average (78.8).
  • Sacramento State is allowing 83.3 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 82.5 points allowed.
  • The Hornets are sinking 0.1 fewer treys per game over their last 10 games (7.5) compared to their season average (7.6), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (36.2%) compared to their season mark (33.7%).

Sacramento State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 4-12-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 4-10-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 10-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 8-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-0 (Home: 3-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-20 (Home: 4-4; Away: 0-16)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.6 (314th in nation) 46.3 (293rd) 32.1 (176th) 36.6 (361st) 13.2 (230th) 10.2 (99th)
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