Illinois vs. Northwestern betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 4

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (19-3, 10-1 Big Ten) are heavily favored (-15.5) to extend an 11-game winning streak when they host the Northwestern Wildcats (10-12, 2-9 Big Ten) at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at State Farm Center. The matchup airs on Big Ten Network. The point total in the matchup is 150.

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Spread

Illinois Cover -15.5 vs Northwestern -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Illinois vs. Northwestern betting lines

  • Illinois moneyline odds to win: -1818
  • Northwestern moneyline odds to win: +982
  • Spread: Illinois (-15.5)
  • Total: 150

Illinois statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Illinois has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 12 games at home, and it has covered five times in six games when playing on the road.
  • The Fighting Illini have eclipsed the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 12 home matchups (41.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of six games (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Illinois has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.917) compared to road games (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Fighting Illini have been racking up 80.5 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Illinois has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 66.6 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 68.2 it has conceded per game this year.
  • The Fighting Illini’s last 10 contests have seen them make 11.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 11.0 makes and 35.6%.

Illinois betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-8-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 5-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 15.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-7-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-14-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 11-1; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.8 (93rd in nation) 40.6 (37th) 38.2 (ninth) 27.5 (25th) 14.5 (148th) 9.1 (19th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Illinois vs. Northwestern? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Northwestern statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Northwestern has a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 4-8-0 record) than on the road (.500, 3-3-0).
  • Wildcats games have gone above the over/under 41.7% of the time at home (five of 12), and 50% of the time on the road (three of six).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Wildcats have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (1-3).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Wildcats are averaging 71.9 points per contest, compared to their season average of 76.6.
  • Northwestern is ceding 74.1 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 72.0 points allowed.
  • The Wildcats are draining 6.5 three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (6.4). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.2%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.9%).

Northwestern betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-14-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-7 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.8 (93rd in nation) 43.0 (131st) 29.8 (296th) 31.7 (210th) 18.0 (19th) 8.2 (fourth)
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