The No. 20 Illinois Fighting Illini (10-3, 1-1 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (9-4, 0-2 Big Ten) after winning three home road in a row. The Fighting Illini are heavy favorites by 14.5 points in the contest, which begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026. The over/under is set at 156.5 in the matchup.
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Illinois Cover -14.5 vs Penn State -113
Illinois vs. Penn State betting lines
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: -1449
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +828
- Spread: Illinois (-14.5)
- Total: 156.5
Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In home games last season, Illinois sported a better record against the spread (10-7-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-5-0).
- The Fighting Illini exceeded the over/under less often at home last year, hitting the over in eight of 17 home matchups (47.1%). On the road, they hit the over in six of 10 games (60%).
- Illinois performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games last year, sporting a home record of 12-3 home record, compared to going 3-3 on the road.
Last season stats
- On offense, the Fighting Illini were the ninth-best team in college basketball (83.6 points per game) last season. On defense, they were 263rd (74.8 points conceded per game).
- Last season, Illinois was best in the nation in rebounds (39.7 per game) and 104th in rebounds allowed (30.1).
- Last season the Fighting Illini were ranked 83rd in college basketball in assists with 14.9 per game.
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 1-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 4-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (56th in nation) | 40.0 (47th) | 39.2 (13th) | 27.5 (39th) | 15.4 (122nd) | 9.8 (40th) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Penn State was better against the spread away (6-4-0) than at home (8-9-0) last year.
- In terms of the over/under, Nittany Lions games finished over more frequently at home (eight of 17, 47.1%) than on the road (four of 10, 40%) last year.
- Last season the Nittany Lions were 1-2 at home as moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). Away they were 2-8 (.200).
Last season stats
- Last season the Nittany Lions put up 79.1 points per game (54th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 73.2 points per contest (213th-ranked).
- Penn State ranked 261st in the nation with 30.7 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 129th with 30.4 rebounds allowed per game.
- The Nittany Lions averaged 16.0 dimes per game, which ranked them 39th in college basketball.
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 4-9-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (50th in nation) | 48.2 (339th) | 28.1 (346th) | 29.5 (105th) | 14.0 (211th) | 9.2 (17th) |

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