The 14th-seeded Pennsylvania Quakers (18-11) take the court in the first round of the NCAA Tournament against the No. 3 seed Illinois Fighting Illini (24-8) on Thursday at Bon Secours Wellness Arena. The matchup begins at 9:25 p.m. ET on TNT. Pennsylvania is a heavy, 25.5-point underdog in the game. Here’s what you need to know before filling out your brackets for this 3-14 matchup in the South Region. The over/under is set at 151.5 for the matchup.
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Illinois Cover -25.5 vs Pennsylvania -111
Illinois vs. Pennsylvania betting lines
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: -10000
- Pennsylvania moneyline odds to win: +2340
- Spread: Illinois (-25.5)
- Total: 151.5
Illinois statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Fighting Illini have been racking up 83.8 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Illinois’ defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 73.3 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 69.8 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
- Over their last 10 contests, the Fighting Illini are making 0.1 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.8 compared to 10.9 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (32.8% compared to 34.7% season-long).
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-14-0 (Home: 10-7-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 25.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 15-11-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 14-18-0 (Home: 6-11-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-5 (Home: 14-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3 (105th in nation) | 41.0 (31st) | 37.5 (seventh) | 28.1 (26th) | 14.7 (119th) | 8.6 (ninth) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Illinois vs. Pennsylvania? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Pennsylvania statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- While the Quakers are scoring 76.1 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 75.6 points per contest.
- While Pennsylvania is ceding 73.3 points per game in 2025-26, it has bettered that mark over its previous 10 games, allowing 69.5 points per contest.
- The Quakers are draining the same number of threes per game over their previous 10 games as their season average (8.1), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (38.2%) compared to their season mark (38.9%).
Pennsylvania betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-8-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 10-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-21-0 (Home: 1-12-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-0 (Home: 9-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 7-10 (Home: 2-2; Away: 3-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.1 (244th in nation) | 45.1 (235th) | 32.7 (130th) | 32.6 (277th) | 14.0 (162nd) | 10.4 (120th) |
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