Illinois State vs. Evansville betting: College basketball preview for March 2

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Illinois State Redbirds (17-13, 9-10 MVC) are at home in MVC action against the Evansville Purple Aces (11-19, 8-11 MVC) on Sunday, March 2, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET. The Redbirds are double-digit favorites by 10.5 points in the game. The over/under is set at 143 in the matchup.

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Illinois State Cover -10.5 vs Evansville -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Illinois State vs. Evansville betting lines

  • Illinois State moneyline odds to win: -613
  • Evansville moneyline odds to win: +443
  • Spread: Illinois State (-10.5)
  • Total: 143

Illinois State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Illinois State has fared worse at home, covering seven times in 14 home games, and eight times in 12 road games.
  • The Redbirds have exceeded the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in 10 of 14 home matchups (71.4%). On the road, they have hit the over in eight of 12 games (66.7%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Illinois State has taken seven of 10 games at home, good for a .700 winning percentage. It has won one of four games away from home (.250) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Redbirds’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 75.4 points a contest compared to the 76.6 they’ve averaged this season.
  • Illinois State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 76 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 73 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
  • The Redbirds are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 9.9 threes per game and shooting 36.3% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.2 makes and 38.7% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Illinois State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-10-0; As Underdog: 13-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-9-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-6 (Home: 7-3; Away: 1-3)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-7 (Home: 3-1; Away: 4-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.6 (21st in nation) 46 (305th) 29.7 (305th) 28 (29th) 14.5 (114th) 9.8 (45th)

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Evansville statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Evansville has performed better against the spread at home (8-7-0) than on the road (6-8-0) this season.
  • In terms of the over/under, Purple Aces games have gone over eight of 15 times at home (53.3%), and five of 14 away (35.7%).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Purple Aces have a better winning percentage at home (.417, 5-7 record) than away (.286, 4-10).

Recent trends

  • Over their previous 10 games, the Purple Aces are averaging 71.9 points per game, five more than their season average (66.9).
  • Evansville is surrendering 72.6 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.9 points allowed.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Purple Aces are making 7 three-pointers per contest, 0.1 fewer threes than their season average (7.1). They own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (34.5%) compared to their season average (30.7%).

Evansville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 6-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 2-5-0 (As Favorite: 2-2-0; As Underdog: 12-13-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 9-17 (Home: 5-7; Away: 4-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.5 (251st in nation) 42.2 (89th) 29.5 (319th) 32.6 (277th) 13 (231st) 11 (160th)
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