A pair of struggling teams meet when the Illinois State Redbirds (10-8, 2-5 MVC) host the Missouri State Bears (7-11, 0-7 MVC) on Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET. The Bears are 9.5-point underdogs as they look to end a three-game losing streak against the Redbirds, losers of three straight. The matchup’s over/under is 131.
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Illinois State Cover -9.5 vs Missouri State -110
Illinois State vs. Missouri State betting lines
- Illinois State moneyline odds to win: -538
- Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +395
- Spread: Illinois State (-9.5)
- Total: 131
Illinois State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Illinois State has a worse record against the spread at home (5-3-0) than it does on the road (5-1-0).
- The Redbirds have eclipsed the total in a lower percentage of games at home (50%) than road games (66.7%).
- Illinois State has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 3-3 (.500). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 0-1 (.000).
Recent trends
- The Redbirds have seen a decrease in scoring lately, putting up 73.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.2 points fewer than the 76.9 they’ve scored this season.
- Illinois State has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 69 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 71.2 it has conceded per game this year.
- During their past 10 outings, the Redbirds are making 0.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.6 compared to 10.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.7% compared to 39.9% season-long).
Illinois State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-5-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-4-0; As Underdog: 9-1-0)
- O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-4 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-4 (Home: 2-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (29th in nation) | 44.9 (266th) | 30.8 (279th) | 27.4 (21st) | 14.4 (139th) | 10.2 (59th) |
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Missouri State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Missouri State has been better against the spread away (3-3-0) than at home (3-5-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Bears games have finished over four of eight times at home (50%), and two of six on the road (33.3%).
- The Bears, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-0) than away (0-4) this year.
Recent trends
- The Bears have fared worse offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 64.8 points per contest, 5.4 fewer points their than season average of 70.2.
- Over its past 10 games, Missouri State is ceding 71.6 points per contest, compared to its season average of 72.3 points allowed.
- The Bears are sinking 0.2 fewer three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games (6.9) compared to their season average (7.1), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.9%) compared to their season mark (34.8%).
Missouri State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 2-6-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-10-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-5 (Home: 1-4; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (267th in nation) | 47.5 (344th) | 30.6 (288th) | 28.6 (54th) | 12.3 (289th) | 12.5 (275th) |
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