Illinois State vs. Missouri State betting: College basketball preview for February 22

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

MVC foes meet when the Illinois State Redbirds (16-12, 8-9 MVC) visit the Missouri State Bears (9-19, 2-15 MVC) at Great Southern Bank Arena, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 22, 2025. The Bears are 2.5-point underdogs in the game. The over/under is set at 134.5 in the matchup.

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Illinois State Cover -2.5 vs Missouri State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Illinois State vs. Missouri State betting lines

  • Illinois State moneyline odds to win: -160
  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +134
  • Spread: Illinois State (-2.5)
  • Total: 134.5

Illinois State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Illinois State owns a worse record against the spread in home games (7-7-0) than it does in road games (8-2-0).
  • Looking at point totals, the Redbirds hit the over more often at home, as they’ve gone over the total 10 times in 14 opportunities this season (71.4%). In road games, they have hit the over six times in 10 opportunities (60%).
  • Illinois State has played better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 7-3, compared to going 0-2 on the road.

Recent trends

  • The Redbirds have been putting up 76.4 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 76.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Illinois State has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 75.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.7 it has surrendered this season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Redbirds are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (10.1 compared to 10.3 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (37.4% compared to 39.0% season-long).

Illinois State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-10-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 8-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 13-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 18-9-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 7-3; Away: 0-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-7 (Home: 3-1; Away: 4-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.7 (18th in nation) 46.0 (304th) 30.0 (298th) 27.8 (25th) 14.5 (117th) 9.8 (47th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Illinois State vs. Missouri State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Missouri State has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than away (.583, 7-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Bears games have finished over more often at home (six of 12, 50%) than on the road (five of 12, 41.7%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-2) than away (0-10).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Bears are putting up 66.4 points per game, 2.5 fewer points than their season average (68.9).
  • Missouri State has performed better defensively in its previous 10 games, allowing 68.4 points per contest, 2.5 fewer points than its season average of 70.9 allowed.
  • Over their past 10 games, the Bears are draining 7.1 threes per game, the same number as their season average. They sport a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.6%) compared to their season average (35.4%).

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-12-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 11-5-0 (As Favorite: 3-6-0; As Underdog: 12-6-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-5 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (157th in nation) 46.5 (320th) 29.8 (304th) 27.4 (19th) 12.4 (269th) 13.0 (322nd)
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