The Illinois State Redbirds (16-9, 8-6 MVC) are at home in MVC play against the Valparaiso Beacons (13-12, 7-7 MVC) on Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The Redbirds are favored by 8.5 points in the game. The over/under for the matchup is set at 139.5.
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Illinois State Cover -8.5 vs Valparaiso -115
Illinois State vs. Valparaiso betting lines
- Illinois State moneyline odds to win: -481
- Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +357
- Spread: Illinois State (-8.5)
- Total: 139.5
Illinois State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In home games, Illinois State has a better record against the spread (7-4-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (3-6-0).
- The Redbirds have gone over the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in four of 11 home matchups (36.4%). On the road, they have hit the over in four of nine games (44.4%).
- Illinois State has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-2 (.818). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-3 (.400).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Redbirds have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 72.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 76.8 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
- Illinois State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball as of late, allowing 71.3 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 67.6 points per game its opponents average in the 2025-26 season.
- The Redbirds’ past 10 outings have seen them make 8.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.3% from deep. Both numbers are down from their 2025-26 averages of 8.6 makes and 35.6%.
Illinois State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 10-8-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 10-14-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 4-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 9-2; Away: 2-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (67th in nation) | 42.3 (82nd) | 34.3 (85th) | 29.1 (70th) | 13.8 (193rd) | 10.4 (102nd) |
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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Valparaiso has a lower winning percentage at home (.692, 9-4-0 record) than away (.818, 9-2-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Beacons games have finished over four of 13 times at home (30.8%), and eight of 11 away (72.7%).
- The Beacons, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-3) than away (3-8) this year.
Recent trends
- The Beacons are posting 72.2 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (71.4).
- Valparaiso is giving up 70.9 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 0.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.2).
- The Beacons are making 7.4 three-pointers per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.4 more than their average for the season (7.0). Likewise, they sport a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (37.4%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.3%).
Valparaiso betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-6-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 13-3-0)
- O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-11 (Home: 2-3; Away: 3-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.8 (327th in nation) | 43.4 (144th) | 33.2 (127th) | 31.1 (186th) | 11.3 (336th) | 10.1 (73rd) |
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