Iowa vs. Penn State betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 28

Data Skrive

The Penn State Nittany Lions (11-17, 2-15 Big Ten) will look to end a three-game losing streak when they host the Iowa Hawkeyes (20-8, 10-7 Big Ten) on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at Bryce Jordan Center as big, 10.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 12 p.m. ET on Big Ten Network. The over/under is set at 145.5 for the matchup.

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Spread

Iowa Cover -10.5 vs Penn State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Iowa vs. Penn State betting lines

  • Iowa moneyline odds to win: -606
  • Penn State moneyline odds to win: +424
  • Spread: Iowa (-10.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Iowa statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Iowa has performed better at home, covering nine times in 16 home games, and five times in nine road games.
  • The Hawkeyes have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (62.5%) than away games (66.7%).
  • Iowa has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 14-0 (1.000). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-2 (.500).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Hawkeyes have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 71.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 75.9 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • The past 10 games have seen Iowa concede 4.4 more points per game (69.2) than its season-long average (64.8).
  • The Hawkeyes are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.0 threes per game and shooting 32.1% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.8 makes and 35.4% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Iowa betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-11-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 14-7-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 6-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-2 (Home: 14-0; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.6 (19th in nation) 45.0 (229th) 27.2 (351st) 26.0 (third) 15.1 (104th) 8.9 (17th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Iowa vs. Penn State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Penn State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Penn State’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .400. It is 6-9-0 ATS on its home court and 4-6-0 on the road.
  • In terms of the over/under, Nittany Lions games have finished over eight of 15 times at home (53.3%), and eight of 10 on the road (80%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Nittany Lions have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-6) than on the road (1-8).

Recent trends

  • The Nittany Lions are scoring 71.4 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 3.5 fewer points than their average for the season (74.9).
  • Over its previous 10 games, Penn State is allowing 85.3 points per contest, 5.8 more points than its season average (79.5).
  • The Nittany Lions are sinking 1.2 fewer treys per contest over their last 10 games (5.7) compared to their season average (6.9), and they are producing a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (28.9%) compared to their season mark (31.8%).

Penn State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-17-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 8-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 17-11-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 8-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-15 (Home: 1-6; Away: 1-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (97th in nation) 49.8 (361st) 26.7 (358th) 30.7 (164th) 12.6 (273rd) 9.8 (58th)
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