Iowa State vs. Baylor betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Baylor Bears (10-3, 0-1 Big 12) are underdogs (by 4.5 points) to continue a nine-game home win streak when they host the No. 3 Iowa State Cyclones (14-0, 1-0 Big 12) on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The point total in the matchup is set at 155.5.

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Spread

Iowa State Cover -4.5 vs Baylor -107

Bet $20, Payout $38.69

Iowa State vs. Baylor betting lines

  • Iowa State moneyline odds to win: -208
  • Baylor moneyline odds to win: +172
  • Spread: Iowa State (-4.5)
  • Total: 155.5

Iowa State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Iowa State covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games last year. Iowa State covered nine times in 17 games at home, and it covered seven times in 11 games on the road.
  • When playing at home last season, the Cyclones eclipse the total 35.3% of the time (six of 17 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, going over the total in 36.4% of games (four of 11).
  • Iowa State won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last year, going 14-2 (.875). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it sported a record of 5-2 (.714).

Last season stats

  • The Cyclones were 34th in the nation in points scored (80.3 per game) and 61st in points allowed (68.3) last year.
  • On the glass, Iowa State was 142nd in the nation in rebounds (32.7 per game) last season. It was 31st in rebounds conceded (28.3 per game).
  • At 15.0 assists per game last year, the Cyclones were 77th in the country.

Iowa State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-6-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-5-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 1-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-6-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 7-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
53.1 (second in nation) 42.1 (106th) 33.1 (187th) 25.5 (fifth) 19.4 (11th) 10.0 (60th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Iowa State vs. Baylor? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Baylor statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Baylor performed better at home (8-7-0) than away (1-9-1) last year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Bears games went over more often at home (nine of 15, 60%) than on the road (five of 11, 45.5%) last year.
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Bears won the same percentage of games (.000) at home (0-1) and away (0-7) last year.

Last season stats

  • The Bears were 112th in the country last year with 76.1 points per game. At the other end of the court, they ranked 104th with 69.8 points allowed per contest.
  • Baylor averaged 32.8 rebounds per game (135th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 29.9 rebounds per contest (94th-ranked).
  • The Bears ranked 111th in the country with 14.4 assists per contest.

Baylor betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-6-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-4-0 (Home: 6-1-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51.0 (18th in nation) 42.0 (98th) 38.1 (23rd) 28.1 (53rd) 18.5 (25th) 10.8 (117th)
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