The No. 2 seed from the Midwest Region bracket, the Iowa State Cyclones (28-7), meet the No. 7 seed Kentucky Wildcats (22-13) on Sunday with a spot in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on the line. Iowa State has been installed as a 4.5-point favorite to win this second round matchup, which tips off at 2:45 p.m. ET on CBS. The matchup’s point total is set at 146.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Iowa State Cover -4.5 vs Kentucky -123
Iowa State vs. Kentucky betting lines
- Iowa State moneyline odds to win: -233
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +187
- Spread: Iowa State (-4.5)
- Total: 146.5
Iowa State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- On offense, the Cyclones have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 78.4 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 82.5 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Iowa State’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 67.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 65.4 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- While the Cyclones are making more threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.2 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (9.1), they are doing so while shooting a lower percentage (36.8% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 38.8% on the season).
Iowa State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 21-14-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 18-10-0 (As Favorite: 19-13-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 16-19-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 2-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-5 (Home: 14-1; Away: 4-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.1 (18th in nation) | 42.7 (83rd) | 32.5 (141st) | 28.4 (34th) | 17.4 (19th) | 9.9 (70th) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Iowa State vs. Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Kentucky statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- While the Wildcats are scoring 81.0 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, amassing 79.4 points per contest.
- Kentucky has played worse defensively in its previous 10 games, ceding 79.0 points per contest, 4.9 more points than its season average of 74.1.
- The Wildcats are making 0.2 fewer threes per game in their past 10 games (7.9) compared to their season average (8.1), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.5%) compared to their season mark (34.2%).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-17-0 (Home: 9-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 6-6-0)
- O-U-P: 18-17-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 13-3; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (88th in nation) | 42.5 (74th) | 34.1 (70th) | 31.1 (191st) | 16.1 (51st) | 9.9 (70th) |
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
