J.J. McCarthy will look to make an impact for the Minnesota Vikings when they play the New York Giants at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 16 of the 2025 NFL season. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for McCarthy in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
J.J. McCarthy to go over 188.5 yards
J.J. McCarthy Prop Lines
- Matchup: Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 188.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 14.5 (-106)
J.J. McCarthy Stats and Trends
- McCarthy has thrown for 1,342 yards (167.8 per game), completing 56.8% of his passes, with 11 TDs and 11 INTs.
- McCarthy throws for 167.8 yards per game. That’s 20.7 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
- In eight games this season, McCarthy has gone over 188.5 passing yards two times.
- His passing yards average of 167.8 yards this season is less than his average prop bet total (206.9) by 39.1 passing yards.
- This season, McCarthy has surpassed his passing yards prop total twice in eight chances.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in six of eight games this year — including multiple TDs four times.
- McCarthy has also contributed via the running game, with 154 yards (19.3 per game) on 33 attempts and three TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Giants
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Commanders | 212 | 1 |
| 2 | Cowboys | 343 | 2 |
| 3 | Chiefs | 201 | 1 |
| 4 | Chargers | 186 | 1 |
| 5 | Saints | 244 | 1 |
| 6 | Eagles | 266 | 1 |
| 7 | Broncos | 265 | 2 |
| 8 | Eagles | 151 | 4 |
| 9 | 49ers | 221 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 220 | 1 |
| 11 | Packers | 168 | 3 |
| 12 | Lions | 257 | 2 |
| 13 | Patriots | 276 | 2 |
| 15 | Commanders | 195 | 1 |
Vikings Away Splits
- On the road, the Vikings average fewer points (18.3 per game) than overall (20.6). They also allow more (25.1 per game) than overall (21.9).
- On the road, the Vikings accumulate fewer yards (253.9 per game) than overall (279.4). They also allow more (325.8 per game) than overall (307.9).
- The Vikings pick up 166.5 passing yards per game on the road (10.6 fewer than overall) and give up 191.9 on the road (11.5 more than overall).
- The Vikings pick up fewer rushing yards in away games (87.4 per game) than they do overall (102.3), and give up more (133.9 per game) than overall (127.6).
- The Vikings successfully convert fewer third downs in road games (26.7%) than they do overall (31.3%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs in road games (36.1%) than overall (35.8%).
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