Week 18 NFL action pits J.J. McCarthy and his Minnesota Vikings teammates versus the Green Bay Packers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday Below, we dig into McCarthy’s stats and trends as they relate to his prop bets to help you pick out the best bets for the player and this contest.

J.J. McCarthy Prop Lines

• Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: January 4, 2026
• Passing yards prop: Over 190.5 (-112)

J.J. McCarthy Stats and Trends

• McCarthy has passed for 1,450 yards (161.1 per game), completing 57.3% of his passes, with 11 TDs and 12 INTs.
• Compared to his 190.5-yard prop bet total for this matchup, McCarthy is throwing for fewer yards per game — 161.1 — this season.
• In nine games this season, McCarthy has exceeded 190.5 passing yards two times.
• His passing yards average of 161.1 yards this year is lower than his average prop bet total (204.4) by 43.3 passing yards.
• This year, McCarthy has topped his passing yards prop total twice in nine chances.
• He has tossed a touchdown pass in six of nine games this year, with more than one TD throw four times.
• McCarthy also has run for 174 yards on 35 attempts with four touchdowns, picking up 19.3 yards per game.

Recent Performances vs. the Packers

Vikings Home Splits

• At home, the Vikings score 23.7 points per game and give up 16.6. That’s more than they score overall (20.5), but less than they give up (20.6).
• The Vikings rack up 291.6 yards per game at home (22.1 more than their overall average), and concede 276.6 at home (16.1 less than overall).
• The Vikings’ average yards passing at home (164.3) is higher than their overall average (163.0). And their average yards allowed at home (164.7) is lower than overall (168.8).
• The Vikings accumulate 127.3 rushing yards per game at home (20.8 more than their overall average), and give up 111.9 at home (12.0 less than overall).
• The Vikings convert 34.5% of third downs at home (2.1% higher than their overall average), and give up 35.5% at home (0.4% higher than overall).