Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State betting: College basketball preview for March 5

Data Skrive

The Jackson State Tigers (10-20, 9-8 SWAC) host the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-28, 2-15 SWAC) after winning three home games in a row. The Tigers are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The point total in the matchup is set at 145.5.

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Jackson State Cover -11.5 vs Mississippi Valley State -114

Bet $20, Payout $37.54

Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State betting lines

  • Jackson State moneyline odds to win: -699
  • Mississippi Valley State moneyline odds to win: +500
  • Spread: Jackson State (-11.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Jackson State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • When playing at home, Jackson State sports a better record against the spread (6-3-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (6-13-0).
  • The Tigers have gone over the total more often when playing at home, hitting the over in five of nine home matchups (55.6%). In road games, they have hit the over in eight of 19 games (42.1%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Jackson State has won a higher percentage of its home games (1.000) compared to away games (.500).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers have picked up their production a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 76.7 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 70.2 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • Jackson State’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has allowed 80.4 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 85.1 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • The Tigers are trending up from deep over their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 31.8% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.0 makes and 31.3% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Jackson State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 6-13-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 8-11-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 3-0; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-18 (Home: 3-3; Away: 3-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
39.1 (363rd in nation) 46.4 (300th) 29.9 (289th) 37.5 (364th) 10.6 (354th) 13.3 (341st)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Mississippi Valley State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2025-26 against the spread, Mississippi Valley State has a lower winning percentage at home (.300, 3-7-0 record) than away (.556, 10-8-0).
  • In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Delta Devils’ games have finished above the over/under at home (40%, four of 10) than away (44.4%, eight of 18).
  • The Delta Devils’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .100 (1-9), and away it is .091 (1-10).

Recent trends

  • Over their last 10 games, the Delta Devils are averaging 66.7 points per game, 2.5 more than their season average (64.2).
  • Mississippi Valley State has fared better defensively over its past 10 games, surrendering 77.5 points per contest, 5.6 fewer points than its season average of 83.1 allowed.
  • The Delta Devils are making 4.5 threes per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (5.0). Additionally, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (28.7%) compared to their season average from three-point land (29.3%).

Mississippi Valley State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 10-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 13-10-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 15-15-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 8-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-21 (Home: 1-9; Away: 1-10)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.0 (346th in nation) 47.6 (337th) 27.2 (353rd) 33.7 (325th) 12.1 (305th) 14.6 (361st)
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