NFL playoff action in the NFC Divisional Round features Detroit Lions and Jared Goff facing the Washington Commanders at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Goff’s outing.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Jared Goff to go over 274.5 yards
Jared Goff Prop Lines
- Matchup: Detroit Lions vs. Washington Commanders
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Date: January 18, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 274.5 (-115)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (-105)
Jared Goff Stats and Trends
- Goff has thrown for 4,629 yards (272.3 per game) for Detroit, completing 72.4% and tossing 37 TD passes and 12 interceptions on the year.
- Goff is averaging 272.3 passing yards per game, lower than his over/under for this matchup of 274.5.
- In nine of 17 games this season, Goff has eclipsed 274.5 passing yards.
- His passing yards average of 272.3 yards is higher than his average prop total this season (251.9) by 20.4 yards.
- This season, Goff has finished above his passing yards total 11 times (68.8%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in 15 of 17 games (including multiple TDs 12 times).
- Also, Goff has picked up 56 rushing yards (3.3 per game) on 35 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Commanders
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | 280 | 4 |
| 2 | Giants | 175 | 2 |
| 3 | Bengals | 312 | 3 |
| 4 | Cardinals | 115 | 1 |
| 5 | Browns | 108 | 1 |
| 6 | Ravens | 308 | 1 |
| 7 | Panthers | 85 | 0 |
| 8 | Bears | 111 | 0 |
| 9 | Giants | 162 | 2 |
| 10 | Steelers | 172 | 3 |
| 11 | Eagles | 206 | 0 |
| 12 | Cowboys | 241 | 2 |
| 13 | Titans | 210 | 2 |
| 15 | Saints | 176 | 2 |
| 16 | Eagles | 127 | 1 |
| 17 | Falcons | 211 | 1 |
| 18 | Cowboys | 228 | 0 |
| Playoffs | Buccaneers | 183 | 2 |
Lions Home Splits
- The Lions’ average points scored (35.3) and conceded (21.9) in home games are both higher than their overall averages of 33.2 and 20.1, respectively.
- At home, the Lions rack up 421.8 yards per game and give up 347.2. That’s more than they gain (409.5) and allow (342.4) overall.
- At home, the Lions accumulate 276.3 passing yards per game and give up 238.4. That’s more than they gain overall (263.2), and less than they allow (244).
- The Lions rack up 145.4 rushing yards per game at home (one less than their overall average), and give up 108.8 at home (10.4 more than overall).
- At home, the Lions convert 44% of third downs and allow 34.4% to be converted. That’s less than they convert overall (47.6%), and more than they allow (32.4%).
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