Week 16 action in the NFL features Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions matching up against the Pittsburgh Steelers at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. With prop bets available for Goff in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Jared Goff to go over 268.5 yards
Jared Goff Prop Lines
- Matchup: Detroit Lions vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: December 21, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 268.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (+151)
Jared Goff Stats and Trends
- Goff leads Detroit with 3,672 passing yards (262.3 per game) and a 69.3% completion rate this season, throwing for 29 TDs with five INTs.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Goff is 268.5 passing yards, which is 6.2 higher yards than his average of 262.3 on the year.
- In six games this season, Goff has thrown for more than 268.5 yards.
- His 262.3 passing yards per game average is 13.7 above his average over/under of 248.6.
- This season, Goff has bettered his passing yards prop total in nine games (64.3%).
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 14 games this season, with more than one TD pass nine times.
- Goff has added 44 yards rushing on 15 attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Steelers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jets | 212 | 1 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 278 | 2 |
| 3 | Patriots | 250 | 2 |
| 4 | Vikings | 302 | 2 |
| 6 | Browns | 183 | 0 |
| 7 | Bengals | 328 | 3 |
| 8 | Packers | 360 | 3 |
| 9 | Colts | 313 | 1 |
| 10 | Chargers | 199 | 1 |
| 11 | Bengals | 192 | 1 |
| 12 | Bears | 229 | 3 |
| 13 | Bills | 123 | 1 |
| 14 | Ravens | 203 | 1 |
| 15 | Dolphins | 222 | 2 |
Lions Home Splits
- The Lions score 33.7 points per game in home games (3.1 more than their overall average), and give up 22.1 at home (2.5 less than overall).
- At home, the Lions rack up 389.4 yards per game and give up 341.4. That’s more than they gain (379.9) and allow (337.9) overall.
- At home, the Lions rack up 249.4 passing yards per game and concede 236.6. That’s more than they gain (248.8) and allow (231.1) overall.
- The Lions rack up 140 rushing yards per game at home (8.9 more than their overall average), and concede 104.9 at home (1.8 less than overall).
- At home, the Lions convert 39.1% of third downs and allow 38.8% to be converted. That’s more than they convert (38.4%) and allow (36.8%) overall.
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