Week 18 of the NFL season features Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions taking on the Chicago Bears at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Goff’s matchup.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Jared Goff to go over 254.5 yards
Jared Goff Prop Lines
- Matchup: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: January 4, 2026
- Passing yards prop: Over 254.5 (-112)
Jared Goff Stats and Trends
- Goff has 4,233 yards passing (264.6 per game) with 33 TDs and seven INTs this season.
- Goff has thrown for 264.6 yards per game (10.1 above Sunday’s prop total).
- In 16 games this season, Goff has surpassed 254.5 passing yards on 10 occasions.
- His 264.6 passing yards per game average is 14.7 above his average over/under of 249.9.
- This season, Goff has hit the over on his passing yards total 10 times (62.5%).
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 16 games this season, with more than one TD pass 10 times.
- Also, Goff has picked up 45 rushing yards (2.8 per game) on 19 carries.
Recent Performances vs. the Bears
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikings | 134 | 2 |
| 2 | Lions | 334 | 5 |
| 3 | Cowboys | 275 | 1 |
| 4 | Raiders | 117 | 2 |
| 6 | Commanders | 205 | 3 |
| 7 | Saints | 209 | 2 |
| 8 | Ravens | 178 | 1 |
| 9 | Bengals | 449 | 4 |
| 10 | Giants | 262 | 0 |
| 11 | Vikings | 150 | 1 |
| 12 | Steelers | 159 | 1 |
| 13 | Eagles | 230 | 2 |
| 14 | Packers | 220 | 3 |
| 15 | Browns | 142 | 0 |
| 16 | Packers | 192 | 1 |
| 17 | 49ers | 296 | 3 |
Lions Away Splits
- The Lions average fewer points on the road (25.3 per game) than they do overall (28.9), and concede more (26.6 per game) than overall (24.8).
- On the road, the Lions pick up fewer yards (353 per game) than they do overall (369.4). But they also concede fewer away from home (312.6) than overall (335.8).
- The Lions accumulate 237.5 passing yards per game on the road (12.0 fewer than overall), and concede 197.9 away from home (20.2 fewer than overall).
- The Lions accumulate 115.5 rushing yards per game on the road (4.4 fewer than overall), and give up 114.8 rushing yards away from home (2.8 fewer than overall).
- The Lions successfully convert 37.4% of third downs away from home (0.9% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 32.6% of third downs away from home (4.3% less than overall).
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