Jayden Reed’s Green Bay Packers take the field against the NFC’s Chicago Bears at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season. Let’s examine Reed’s prop bets available for this matchup, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the best value picks.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.54
Jayden Reed to go over 22.5 yards
Jayden Reed Prop Lines
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 22.5 (-114)
Jayden Reed Stats and Trends
- Jayden Reed was the most prolific pass-catcher among the current Packers last season, as the third-year man was targeted 75 times and amassed 55 catches for 857 yards (50.4 ypg) with six TDs.
- Reed compiled 50.4 receiving yards per game last season, 27.9 more than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (22.5).
- In 76.5% of his games last year (13 of 17), Reed exceeded 22.5 receiving yards.
- His average prop bet for receiving yards was an over/under of 46.4 last year, putting up 4.0 more yards per game than that average.
- Last year, Reed hit the over on receiving yards prop bets in 37.5% of his games (six of 16).
- He had a touchdown catch in five games last year out of 17 games played. He had multiple TD receptions only one time.
Last Season Performances vs. the Bears
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | 104 | 1 |
| 2 | Texans | 235 | 1 |
| 3 | Colts | 156 | 0 |
| 4 | Rams | 203 | 0 |
| 5 | Panthers | 172 | 0 |
| 6 | Jaguars | 210 | 2 |
| 8 | Commanders | 313 | 1 |
| 9 | Cardinals | 137 | 0 |
| 10 | Patriots | 184 | 1 |
| 11 | Packers | 260 | 1 |
| 12 | Vikings | 328 | 2 |
| 13 | Lions | 211 | 2 |
| 14 | 49ers | 321 | 2 |
| 15 | Vikings | 215 | 1 |
| 16 | Lions | 329 | 3 |
| 17 | Seahawks | 143 | 0 |
| 18 | Packers | 184 | 0 |
Packers Home Splits
- The Packers’ average points scored (20.7) and allowed (13.5) in home games are both lower than their overall averages of 24.5 and 18.8, respectively.
- The Packers accumulate 332.8 yards per game at home (7.8 less than their overall average), and concede 241.3 at home (43.5 less than overall).
- The Packers rack up 212.8 passing yards per game at home (10.6 less than their overall average), and give up 154.8 at home (31.7 less than overall).
- At home, the Packers accumulate 120 rushing yards per game and give up 86.5. That’s more than they gain overall (117.2), and less than they allow (98.3).
- At home, the Packers convert 45.2% of third downs and allow 35.8% to be converted by their opponent. That’s less than they convert (49.3%) and allow (38.5%) overall.
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