Week 14 of the NFL season features Jaylen Warren and the Pittsburgh Steelers matching up against the Baltimore Ravens at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Warren’s contest.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Jaylen Warren to go over 51.5 yards
Jaylen Warren Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: December 7, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 51.5 (-115)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 11.5 (-107)
Jaylen Warren Stats and Trends
- Warren has a team-leading 639 rushing yards (58.1 ypg) on 151 carries. He has scored four TDs on the ground.
- Warren averages 58.1 rushing yards, 6.6 more than Sunday’s over/under.
- In 54.5% of his games (six of 11), Warren has rushed for more than 51.5 yards.
- Sportsbooks have set his rushing yards prop bet at 57.5 on average. He has barely bettered it by picking up 58.1 rushing yards per game.
- In five of 11 opportunities (45.5%), Warren has gone beyond his rushing yards prop bet.
- He has scored multiple rushing TDs once this year, and has scored in three games.
- Warren has tacked on 27 catches for 228 yards while scoring one touchdown through the passing game.
Recent Performances vs. the Ravens
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills | 108 | 3 |
| 2 | Browns | 115 | 0 |
| 3 | Lions | 224 | 4 |
| 4 | Chiefs | 118 | 0 |
| 5 | Texans | 167 | 1 |
| 6 | Rams | 74 | 1 |
| 8 | Bears | 96 | 1 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 87 | 0 |
| 10 | Vikings | 120 | 1 |
| 11 | Browns | 106 | 0 |
| 12 | Jets | 78 | 0 |
| 13 | Bengals | 128 | 0 |
Steelers Away Splits
- The Steelers score 24.8 points per game away from home (1.4 more than overall), and concede 27 in road games (2.9 more than overall).
- On the road, the Steelers accumulate more yards (287.2 per game) than overall (281.7). But they also give up more (375 per game) than overall (365.1).
- On the road, the Steelers pick up fewer passing yards (182.6 per game) than they do overall (187.8). But they also allow fewer passing yards away from home (243.6) than overall (247.4).
- The Steelers pick up more rushing yards away from home (104.6 per game) than they do overall (93.8), but they also allow more (131.4 per game) than overall (117.7).
- The Steelers convert more third downs on the road (46.3%) than they do overall (39.7%), but they also allow opponents to convert on more (46.5%) than overall (43.6%).
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